Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally
Hollindale Eviction Risk: Lower , Fort Hunt
Tract 51059415402 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 2,590 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
51059415402 is a census tract in the Hollindale area of Fort Hunt, VA. It scores 3.7/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,590. Severe burden reaches 51%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,066
Renter share12.3%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate7.3%
Median income$186,667
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Within county
40
th percentile
Low
Within state
41
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fort Hunt and the region
Centroid at 38.7505, -77.0661 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hollindale scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fort Hunt
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
7.3% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$3,219 rent vs county FMR
8.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Hunt
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Hunt
2.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Hunt
3.3
How Hollindale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 17
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 15%Socioeconomic
- 46%Household composition
- 58%Racial/ethnic minority
- 13%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 27Total filings over 4 yrs
- 3.11%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.2%Peak (2016)
- 11Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 57% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.3%Housing insecurity
- 4.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.1%Food insecurity
- 4.9%SNAP enrollment
- 4.4%Transit barriers
- 5.7%No health insurance
- 11.2%Frequent mental distress
- 24.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hollindale
Cost burden runs 63% here against 41.0% across Fairfax County. The voucher gap is 39.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 8.9/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.3/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.8/10.
Food insecurity runs 7.1% against 17.8% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 27 evictions over 4 years of observation. Housing insecurity runs 6.3% against 14.2% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2016, when 6.2% of renter households were served. Average gross rent is $3,219, 8% below the Fort Hunt average.
In a typical year about 3.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 35th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 12% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059415402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059415402?
Census tract 51059415402 in the Hollindale neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059415402?
Median gross rent is $3,219/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059415402?
7.3% of residents in tract 51059415402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,590.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059415402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 46th, minority 58th, housing 13th.
Q5
Is tract 51059415402 considered part of Hollindale?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059415402 fall within Hollindale (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059415402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 27 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059415402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.11% of renter households, peaking at 6.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059415402 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059415402 compare to Fort Hunt overall?
Tract 51059415402 scores 3.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Fort Hunt at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Hunt; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fort Hunt
Top eight tracts in Fort Hunt ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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