Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally

Wellington Heights Eviction Risk: Lower , Fort Hunt

Tract 51059415600 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 2,666 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 51059415600 covers part of the Wellington Heights area of Fort Hunt, VA, and scores 3.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 60% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 0% Owners 100%
Tract context
Occupied units1,003
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate0.7%
Median income$250,001

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Wellington Heights
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In Fort Hunt
Moderate
Within county
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#254 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
Very Low
Within state
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#1,682 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fort Hunt and the region

Centroid at 38.7492, -77.0496 · click any tract to drill in

Why Wellington Heights scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fort Hunt
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
0.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Hunt
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Hunt
2.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Hunt
3.3

How Wellington Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Wellington Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.2This tracttract 4156003.8Fort Huntparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 1

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 11Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 20.08%Avg annual filing rate
  • 41.2%Peak (2016)
  • 7Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 51059415600
Filings climbed 600% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Wellington Heights

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.3/10. SNAP participation runs 2.2% against 15.2% nationally. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.3/10.

Against the Fairfax County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points. Court records carry 11 eviction filings across 3 observed years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Filings peaked in 2016 at 41.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 20.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 25th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Model confidence here is 60%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point.

Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51059415600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059415600?

Census tract 51059415600 in the Wellington Heights neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059415600?

0.7% of residents in tract 51059415600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,666.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059415600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 0th, household 33th, minority 32th, housing 2th.
Q4

Is tract 51059415600 considered part of Wellington Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059415600 fall within Wellington Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059415600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 11 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 51059415600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 20.08% of renter households, peaking at 41.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 51059415600 struggle to pay rent?

About 3.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51059415600 compare to Fort Hunt overall?

Tract 51059415600 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Fort Hunt at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Hunt; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fort Hunt

Top eight tracts in Fort Hunt ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related