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Neighborhood · Ranked #79,124 of 84,120 nationally

Ridgeview Eviction Risk: Lower , Rose Hill

Tract 51059420700 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 4,993 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

For landlords sizing up the Ridgeview neighborhood of Rose Hill, census tract 51059420700 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. That is riskier than about 34% of US census tracts.

74% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,629 a month while the average household earns $181,042 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 15% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 4% Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,335
Renter share14.5%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate0.7%
Median income$181,042

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Ridgeview
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 6 tracts In Rose Hill
Very Low
Within county
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#100 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
Elevated
Within state
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#1,710 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Rose Hill and the region

Centroid at 38.7858, -77.1052 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ridgeview scores 1.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Rose Hill
2.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
0.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,629 rent vs county FMR
6.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rose Hill
2.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rose Hill
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rose Hill
3.2

How Ridgeview compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ridgeview risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.51.5This tracttract 420700Rose Hill: 3.03.0Rose Hillparent cityCounty: 1.51.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 20

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 24Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 3.21%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.5%Peak (2016)
  • 14Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510594207002011: 4 filings (2.14/100 renter HHs)2012: 4 filings (2.14/100 renter HHs)2013: 2 filings (1.07/100 renter HHs)2016: 14 filings (7.49/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 250% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ridgeview

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 6.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Rose Hill, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Fairfax County average of 5.4 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 20th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51059420700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059420700?

Census tract 51059420700 in the Ridgeview neighborhood scores 1.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51059420700?

Median gross rent is $2,629/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059420700?

0.7% of residents in tract 51059420700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,993.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059420700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 62th, minority 72th, housing 6th.
Q5

Is tract 51059420700 considered part of Ridgeview?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059420700 fall within Ridgeview (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059420700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 24 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059420700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.21% of renter households, peaking at 7.5% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51059420700 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51059420700 compare to Rose Hill overall?

Tract 51059420700 scores 1.5/10, lower than the parent city of Rose Hill at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rose Hill; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Rose Hill

Top eight tracts in Rose Hill ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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