Oakwood Eviction Risk: Lower , Franconia
Tract 51059420203 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 2,856 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 51059420203 in the Oakwood area of Rose Hill, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,856. Against Fairfax County at 41.0%, 72% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Franconia and the region
Centroid at 38.7922, -77.1292 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oakwood scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Oakwood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 6
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 6%Socioeconomic
- 26%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 6%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 14Total filings over 4 yrs
- 2.75%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.2%Peak (2013)
- 4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Oakwood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.6%Housing insecurity
- 4.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.6%Food insecurity
- 4.3%SNAP enrollment
- 4.3%Transit barriers
- 5.2%No health insurance
- 11.8%Frequent mental distress
- 20.6%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Oakwood
The voucher gap is 45.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 9.5/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10.
It sits 1.3 points below the Fairfax County average of 4.3. SNAP participation runs 4.3% against 15.2% nationally.
Well under the midpoint, local political climate reads 2.4/10. At $3,361 a month, rents run 18% over what the rest of Rose Hill commands.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 14 filings here across 4 tracked years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 4.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2013, when 3.2% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 2.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 11% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 51059420203
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059420203?
What is the average rent in tract 51059420203?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059420203?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059420203?
Is tract 51059420203 considered part of Oakwood?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059420203?
What share of households in tract 51059420203 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51059420203 compare to Franconia overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Franconia
Top eight tracts in Franconia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.