Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #78,212 of 84,120 nationally
Virginia Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Rose Hill
Tract 51059420800 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,655 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
In Virginia Hills in Rose Hill, census tract 51059420800 scores 4.6/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 24th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 42% of renter households, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,400 monthly, set against $155,529 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 11% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,251
Renter share11.4%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$155,529
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
25
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Rose Hill and the region
Centroid at 38.7797, -77.0977 · click any tract to drill in
Why Virginia Hills scores 1.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Rose Hill
2.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,400 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rose Hill
2.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rose Hill
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rose Hill
3.2
How Virginia Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 23
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 22%Socioeconomic
- 64%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 9%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 22Total filings over 4 yrs
- 10.13%Avg annual filing rate
- 34.6%Peak (2016)
- 9Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 50% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.2%Housing insecurity
- 5.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.8%Food insecurity
- 6.0%SNAP enrollment
- 5.6%Transit barriers
- 9.5%No health insurance
- 13.1%Frequent mental distress
- 23.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Virginia Hills
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 5.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Rose Hill, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Fairfax County average of 5.4 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 22 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 10.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 34.6% of renter households in 2016.
In CDC survey modeling, about 9.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059420800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059420800?
Census tract 51059420800 in the Virginia Hills neighborhood scores 1.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059420800?
Median gross rent is $2,400/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059420800?
1.4% of residents in tract 51059420800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,655.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059420800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 64th, minority 67th, housing 9th.
Q5
Is tract 51059420800 considered part of Virginia Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059420800 fall within Virginia Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059420800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 22 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059420800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.13% of renter households, peaking at 34.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059420800 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059420800 compare to Rose Hill overall?
Tract 51059420800 scores 1.6/10, lower than the parent city of Rose Hill at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rose Hill; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Rose Hill
Top eight tracts in Rose Hill ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related