Lewis Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fort Belvoir

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.9/10. 32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

This is renter territory: 96% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Set annual rent against average income of $83,594 and the ratio lands at 41%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.8/10. The voucher gap is 23.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The filing record is not thin: 121 evictions over 4 years of observation.

Against the Fairfax County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. At $2,847 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Fort Belvoir commands.

The worst year on record was 2012, when 5.4% of renter households were served.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.