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Neighborhood · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally

Lewis Village Eviction Risk: Lower , Fort Belvoir

Tract 51059421800 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 7,010 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 51059421800 sits in the Lewis Village area of Fort Belvoir, Virginia eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 5.3/10. It lands near the 48th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 55% of renter households, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,822 monthly, set against $82,623 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 52% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 24% Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units2,802
Renter share51.9%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate11.8%
Median income$82,623

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Lewis Village
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Fort Belvoir
Very High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
Very High
Within state
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#920 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fort Belvoir and the region

Centroid at 38.7241, -77.1264 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lewis Village scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fort Belvoir
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
11.8% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,822 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Belvoir
2.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Belvoir
2.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Belvoir
2.2

How Lewis Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lewis Village risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.23.2This tracttract 421800Fort Belvoir: 3.83.8Fort Belvoirparent cityCounty: 1.51.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 76

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 380Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 8.10%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.2%Peak (2011)
  • 86Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510594218002011: 107 filings (9.22/100 renter HHs)2012: 96 filings (8.27/100 renter HHs)2013: 91 filings (7.84/100 renter HHs)2016: 86 filings (7.07/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 20% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lewis Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lewis Village

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fort Belvoir, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Fairfax County average of 5.4 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 380 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 8.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.2% of renter households in 2011.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51059421800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059421800?

Census tract 51059421800 in the Lewis Village neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51059421800?

Median gross rent is $1,822/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059421800?

11.8% of residents in tract 51059421800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,010.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059421800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 53th, minority 88th, housing 76th.
Q5

Is tract 51059421800 considered part of Lewis Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059421800 fall within Lewis Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059421800?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 380 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059421800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.10% of renter households, peaking at 9.2% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51059421800 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51059421800 compare to Fort Belvoir overall?

Tract 51059421800 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Fort Belvoir at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Belvoir; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fort Belvoir

Top eight tracts in Fort Belvoir ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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