Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
Lewis Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fort Belvoir
Tract 51059421800 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 7,010 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Tract 51059421800 sits in the Lewis Village area of Woodlawn eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5/10. Population here is 7,010. 31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units2,802
Renter share51.9%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate11.8%
Median income$82,623
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
77
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fort Belvoir and the region
Centroid at 38.7241, -77.1264 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lewis Village scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fort Belvoir
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
11.8% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,822 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Belvoir
2.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Belvoir
2.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Belvoir
2.2
How Lewis Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 69%Socioeconomic
- 53%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 76%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 380Total filings over 4 yrs
- 8.10%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.2%Peak (2011)
- 86Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 20% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lewis Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.5%Housing insecurity
- 11.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.8%Food insecurity
- 18.4%SNAP enrollment
- 11.5%Transit barriers
- 14.4%No health insurance
- 16.7%Frequent mental distress
- 30.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lewis Village
Cost burden runs 55% here against 41.0% across Fairfax County. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.3/10. On the softer side, housing-court posture reads 2.2/10.
Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.3/10. The filing record is not thin: 380 evictions over 4 years of observation. Against the Fairfax County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points.
Filings peaked in 2011 at 9.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 8.1% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 61st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.8/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Average gross rent is $1,822, close to the Woodlawn average. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $82,623.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059421800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059421800?
Census tract 51059421800 in the Lewis Village neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059421800?
Median gross rent is $1,822/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059421800?
11.8% of residents in tract 51059421800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,010.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059421800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 53th, minority 88th, housing 76th.
Q5
Is tract 51059421800 considered part of Lewis Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059421800 fall within Lewis Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059421800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 380 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059421800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.10% of renter households, peaking at 9.2% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059421800 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059421800 compare to Fort Belvoir overall?
Tract 51059421800 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Fort Belvoir at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Belvoir; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fort Belvoir
Top eight tracts in Fort Belvoir ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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