Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #79,124 of 84,120 nationally
Pinecrest Eviction Risk: Lower , Reston
Tract 51059451900 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 4,531 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Eviction risk in the Pinecrest area of Reston centers on tract 51059451900, which scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 4,531 residents. It lands near the 67th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 47% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,065 a month while the average household earns $112,813 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 42% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units2,038
Renter share42.0%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate3.7%
Median income$112,813
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
22
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Reston and the region
Centroid at 38.8234, -77.1544 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pinecrest scores 1.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Reston
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,065 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Reston
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Reston
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Reston
5.4
How Pinecrest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 50
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 35%Socioeconomic
- 41%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 64%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 736Total filings over 4 yrs
- 24.24%Avg annual filing rate
- 32.3%Peak (2011)
- 212Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Pinecrest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.1%Housing insecurity
- 4.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.2%Food insecurity
- 5.1%SNAP enrollment
- 5.1%Transit barriers
- 7.0%No health insurance
- 12.1%Frequent mental distress
- 20.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pinecrest
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Reston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Fairfax County average of 5.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 736 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 24.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 32.3% of renter households in 2011.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059451900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059451900?
Census tract 51059451900 in the Pinecrest neighborhood scores 1.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059451900?
Median gross rent is $2,065/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059451900?
3.7% of residents in tract 51059451900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,531.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059451900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 41th, minority 73th, housing 64th.
Q5
Is tract 51059451900 considered part of Pinecrest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059451900 fall within Pinecrest (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059451900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 736 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059451900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 24.24% of renter households, peaking at 32.3% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059451900 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059451900 compare to Reston overall?
Tract 51059451900 scores 1.5/10, lower than the parent city of Reston at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Reston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Reston
Top eight tracts in Reston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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