Tally-Ho Eviction Risk: Lower , Great Falls

The voucher gap is 40.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 9/10.

Food insecurity runs 4.6% against 17.8% nationally. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.1/10.

Against the Fairfax County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.3 points. Housing insecurity runs 4.1% against 14.2% nationally. 11% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 18 filings here across 4 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2016 at 7.6% of renter households. In a typical year about 4.0% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 7% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 1.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $250,001, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.