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Neighborhood · Great Falls, VA

Tally-Ho Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 5,090 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Tally-Ho maps to a single census tract in Great Falls, VA, population 5,090. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3/10, placing it in the Lower tier. The voucher gap is 40.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1/10. On the high side is supply constraint at 9/10. Cost burden runs 11% against 19.1% citywide, putting Tally-Ho 8.2% under its own city.

On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.1/10. 2.6% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The filing record is not thin: 18 evictions logged in this tract.

Severe burden reaches 11%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Disability prevalence reaches 19.4% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute.

Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 7.6% of renter households. At $3,241 a month, rents sit 7% under what the rest of Great Falls commands. Judgments average 2.5% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

At 7% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Against average income of $250,001, annual rent is only 16%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Tally-Ho vs Great Falls How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
10.9% -43%
Great Falls: 19.1%
Average gross rent
$3,241 -7%
Great Falls: $3,501
Average HH income
$250,001 +0%
Great Falls: $250,001
Poverty rate
2.8% +37%
Great Falls: 2.0%
Renter share
6.7% +35%
Great Falls: 5.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Tally-Ho and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Tally-Ho scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Rent control risk
11% of income on rent · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
7% renter households · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Economic stress
2.8% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Risk score comparison

Tally-Ho vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Tally-Ho score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Tally-Ho: 3.03.0Tally-HoNeighborhoodParent city: 3.63.6Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Tally-Ho

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51059480402 3 5,090 11% $3,241
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 6

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 3%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 27%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 52%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 9%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Tally-Ho

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 18Total filings (sum)
  • 3.97%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.6%Peak year (2016)
  • 7.61%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Tally-Ho

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Tally-Ho

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Tally-Ho?

Tally-Ho scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Tally-Ho compare to Great Falls overall?

Tally-Ho scores 0.6 points lower than Great Falls overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 11% of income on rent vs 19% citywide. Average rent: $3,241 vs $3,501.
Q3

What is the average rent in Tally-Ho?

Average gross rent in Tally-Ho is $3,241/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 11% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Tally-Ho residents are renters?

7% of Tally-Ho households are renter-occupied (vs 5% in Great Falls). The neighborhood has 5,090 residents.
Q5

Is Tally-Ho a high social-vulnerability area?

Tally-Ho sits in the 6th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Tally-Ho for landlords?

Tally-Ho carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Great Falls as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Tally-Ho?

Tally-Ho has 4,976 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (65.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (21.8%), Other / Multiracial (10.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Tally-Ho

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Great Falls

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Tally-Ho.

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