Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #82,639 of 84,120 nationally
Discovery Square Eviction Risk: Lower , Floris
Tract 51059482505 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,315 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 51059482505 covers the Discovery Square area of Floris in Virginia. Home to 3,315 residents, it scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #47,022 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
38% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,223 a month while the average household earns $176,736 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 43% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,282
Renter share43.1%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate1.9%
Median income$176,736
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
30
th percentile
Low
Within state
9
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Floris and the region
Centroid at 38.9219, -77.4264 · click any tract to drill in
Why Discovery Square scores 1.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Floris
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,223 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Floris
4.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Floris
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Floris
3.0
How Discovery Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 13%Socioeconomic
- 72%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Discovery Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.7%Housing insecurity
- 3.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.7%Food insecurity
- 3.7%SNAP enrollment
- 4.0%Transit barriers
- 4.5%No health insurance
- 10.5%Frequent mental distress
- 18.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Discovery Square
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Floris, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Fairfax County average of 5.4 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Asian and ranks around the 56th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 5.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059482505
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059482505?
Census tract 51059482505 in the Discovery Square neighborhood scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059482505?
Median gross rent is $2,223/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059482505?
1.9% of residents in tract 51059482505 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,315.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059482505?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 72th, minority 78th, housing 86th.
Q5
Is tract 51059482505 considered part of Discovery Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059482505 fall within Discovery Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51059482505 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51059482505 compare to Floris overall?
Tract 51059482505 scores 1.1/10, lower than the parent city of Floris at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Floris; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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