Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #82,639 of 84,120 nationally
Discovery Square Eviction Risk: Lower , Floris
Tract 51059482503 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 4,796 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 51059482503 belongs to the Discovery Square neighborhood of Floris, Virginia. It is home to 4,796 residents and scores 5.9/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 70% of US census tracts.
About 57% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 46% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,363 a month while the average household earns $210,400 a year, roughly 13% of income at the averages. About 15% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,564
Renter share14.6%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate3.8%
Median income$210,400
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
28
th percentile
Low
Within state
9
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Floris and the region
Centroid at 38.9208, -77.4081 · click any tract to drill in
Why Discovery Square scores 1.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Floris
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,363 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Floris
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Floris
3.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Floris
5.3
How Discovery Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 2
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 2%Socioeconomic
- 31%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 1%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 8Total filings over 4 yrs
- 1.66%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.6%Peak (2011)
- 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Discovery Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.0%Housing insecurity
- 3.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.6%Food insecurity
- 3.1%SNAP enrollment
- 3.6%Transit barriers
- 4.0%No health insurance
- 10.7%Frequent mental distress
- 17.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Discovery Square
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Floris, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Fairfax County average of 5.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 8 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 1.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 1.6% of renter households in 2011.
The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 2nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059482503
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059482503?
Census tract 51059482503 in the Discovery Square neighborhood scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059482503?
Median gross rent is $2,363/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059482503?
3.8% of residents in tract 51059482503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,796.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059482503?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 31th, minority 64th, housing 1th.
Q5
Is tract 51059482503 considered part of Discovery Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059482503 fall within Discovery Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059482503?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 8 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059482503 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.66% of renter households, peaking at 1.6% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059482503 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059482503 compare to Floris overall?
Tract 51059482503 scores 1.1/10, lower than the parent city of Floris at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Floris; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Floris
Top eight tracts in Floris ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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