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Neighborhood · Floris, VA

Discovery Square Eviction Risk: Moderate

4 census tracts · pop 10,623 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10 · range 4.9–5.9

Discovery Square is a white-asian neighborhood in Floris with 4 census tracts and a population of 10,623 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 47% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 31% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Median gross rent of $2,389/month sits 27% lower than the Floris citywide median ($3,258).

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
4 tracts · population-weighted
Discovery Square vs Floris How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
46.9% +40%
Floris: 33.6%
Average gross rent
$2,389 -27%
Floris: $3,258
Average HH income
$198,641 -17%
Floris: $239,457
Poverty rate
2.8% +11%
Floris: 2.5%
Renter share
21.6% +55%
Floris: 13.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Discovery Square and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 4.9–5.9

Why Discovery Square scores 5.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Rent control risk
47% of income on rent · Range 3.2–8.5 across tracts
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.7–5.0 across tracts
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
22% renter households · Range 2.4–8.5 across tracts
4.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–5.3 across tracts
4.2
Economic stress
2.8% below poverty line · Range 1.0–3.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.6–6.5 across tracts
5.3
Risk score comparison

Discovery Square vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Discovery Square score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Discovery Square: 5.55.5Discovery SquareNeighborhoodParent city: 5.25.2Parent cityhost cityState: 5.35.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.35.3U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Discovery Square?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square — click to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.0 points from 4.9 to 5.9. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Discovery Square

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51059482503 5.9 4,796 57% $2,363
51059482502 5.3 2,512 40% $2,659
51059482505 5.2 3,315 38% $2,223
51059980200 4.9
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 19

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 6%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 39%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 66%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 28%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Discovery Square

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 11Total filings (sum)
  • 2.01%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.7%Peak year (2016)
  • 2.04%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Discovery Square

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Discovery Square

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Discovery Square?

Discovery Square scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

Q2

How does Discovery Square compare to Floris overall?

Discovery Square scores 0.3 points higher than Floris overall (5.2/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Median rent: $2,389 vs $3,258.

Q3

What is the average rent in Discovery Square?

Median gross rent in Discovery Square is $2,389/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q4

What percentage of Discovery Square residents are renters?

22% of Discovery Square households are renter-occupied (vs 14% in Floris). The neighborhood has 10,623 residents.

Q5

Is Discovery Square a high social-vulnerability area?

Discovery Square sits in the 19th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Q6

Which tracts in Discovery Square have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Discovery Square is census tract 51059482503 (score 5.9/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.9 to 5.9 — a spread of 1.0 points.

Q7

How safe is Discovery Square for landlords?

Discovery Square carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Floris as a whole (5.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Discovery Square?

Discovery Square has 10,507 residents (White-Asian Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (45.6%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (40.4%), Hispanic / Latino (6.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Discovery Square

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