Neighborhood · Floris, VA

Discovery Square Eviction Risk: Lower

4 census tracts · pop 10,623 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.1/10 · range 1.1–1.6

Discovery Square is a white-asian neighborhood in Floris with 4 census tracts and a population of 10,623 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.1/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 47% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 31% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,389/month sits 27% lower than the Floris citywide average ($3,258).

Risk score

1.1

Lower

4 tracts · population-weighted

Discovery Square vs Floris How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

46.9% +40%

Floris: 33.6%

Average gross rent

$2,389 -27%

Floris: $3,258

Average HH income

$198,641 -17%

Floris: $239,457

Poverty rate

2.8% +11%

Floris: 2.5%

Renter share

21.6% +55%

Floris: 13.9%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Discovery Square and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 1.1–1.6

Why Discovery Square scores 1.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts

7.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 3.2–7.2 across tracts

7.2

Rent control risk

47% of income on rent · Range 3.2–8.5 across tracts

6.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.7–5.0 across tracts

3.1

Tenant organizing strength

22% renter households · Range 2.4–8.5 across tracts

4.8

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.0–5.3 across tracts

4.2

Economic stress

2.8% below poverty line · Range 1.0–3.0 across tracts

1.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.6–6.5 across tracts

5.3

Risk score comparison

Discovery Square vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Discovery Square?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.5 points from 1.1 to 1.6. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

1.6 1.1 1.1 1.1

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

4 tracts in Discovery Square

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51059980200	1.6	—	—	—
51059482503	1.1	4,796	57%	$2,363
51059482505	1.1	3,315	38%	$2,223
51059482502	1.1	2,512	40%	$2,659

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 19

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 6%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 39%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 66%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 28%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Discovery Square

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

11Total filings (sum)
2.01%Avg annual filing rate
2.7%Peak year (2016)
2.04%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Discovery Square

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

5.2%Housing insecurity
3.2%Utility shutoff threat
5.9%Food insecurity
3.3%SNAP enrollment
4.2%No health insurance
18.0%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Discovery Square

What is the eviction-risk score for Discovery Square?

Discovery Square scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Discovery Square compare to Floris overall?

Discovery Square scores 2.5 points lower than Floris overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $2,389 vs $3,258.

What is the average rent in Discovery Square?

Average gross rent in Discovery Square is $2,389/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Discovery Square residents are renters?

22% of Discovery Square households are renter-occupied (vs 14% in Floris). The neighborhood has 10,623 residents.

Is Discovery Square a high social-vulnerability area?

Discovery Square sits in the 19th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Discovery Square have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Discovery Square is census tract 51059980200 (score 1.6/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1.1 to 1.6, a spread of 0.5 points.

How safe is Discovery Square for landlords?

Discovery Square carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.1/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Floris as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Discovery Square?

Discovery Square has 10,507 residents (White-Asian Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (45.6%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (40.4%), Hispanic / Latino (6.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Discovery Square

1 Iris Hills 2 tracts · pop 10,992 1.5 Brookfield 3 tracts · pop 17,598 1.4 Halley Rise 2 tracts · pop 7,478 1.2 Penderwood 3 tracts · pop 12,953 2.3 Herndon Heights 3 tracts · pop 17,069 1.4 Greens of Fair Lakes 4 tracts · pop 19,124

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