4 census tracts · pop 10,623 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.5/10
· range 3.1–4.3
Discovery Square takes in 4 census tracts of Floris, VA, population 10,623. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.5/10, placing it in the Lower tier. Cost burden runs 47% against 33.6% citywide, putting Discovery Square 13.3% over its own city.
The severe-burden share is 31%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1/10. At $2,389 a month, rents sit 27% under what the rest of Floris commands.
The 4 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3.1 to 4.3, a 1.2-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. SNAP participation is 3.3% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Disability prevalence reaches 18.0% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute.
Filings are well documented here: 11 across 2 observed tracts. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 2.7% of renter households. Judgments average 1.0% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.
At 22% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Against average income of $198,641, annual rent is only 14%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.2 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
4 tracts · population-weighted
Discovery Square vs FlorisHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority66%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport28%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Discovery Square
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
11Total filings (sum)
2.01%Avg annual filing rate
2.7%Peak year (2016)
2.04%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Discovery Square
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
5.2%Housing insecurity
3.2%Utility shutoff threat
5.9%Food insecurity
3.3%SNAP enrollment
4.2%No health insurance
18.0%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Discovery Square
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Discovery Square?
Discovery Square scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Discovery Square compare to Floris overall?
Discovery Square scores 0.6 points lower than Floris overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $2,389 vs $3,258.
Q3
What is the average rent in Discovery Square?
Average gross rent in Discovery Square is $2,389/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Discovery Square residents are renters?
22% of Discovery Square households are renter-occupied (vs 14% in Floris). The neighborhood has 10,623 residents.
Q5
Is Discovery Square a high social-vulnerability area?
Discovery Square sits in the 19th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Discovery Square have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Discovery Square is census tract 51059980200 (score 4.3/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.1 to 4.3, a spread of 1.2 points.
Q7
How safe is Discovery Square for landlords?
Discovery Square carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.5/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Floris as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Discovery Square?
Discovery Square has 10,507 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (45.6%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (40.4%), Hispanic / Latino (6.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
