Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
Rollingwood Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newington
Tract 51059980100 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 5 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
51059980100 is a census tract in the Rollingwood area of Fairfax County, VA. It scores 4.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 5. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 7.1/10.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 25% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 0%
Owners 100%
Tract context
SVI overall-10.00
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
61
th percentile
Elevated
National
47
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newington and the region
Centroid at 38.7483, -77.2021 · click any tract to drill in
Why Rollingwood scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newington
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
this tract poverty rate
3.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newington
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newington
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newington
5.0
How Rollingwood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: -1,000
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- -1,000%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 0%Racial/ethnic minority
- 0%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Rollingwood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Rollingwood
Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 3/10.
On the national scale it lands near the 47th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Model confidence here is 25%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point. It tracks the Fairfax County average of 4.3 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059980100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059980100?
Census tract 51059980100 in the Rollingwood neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059980100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the -1000th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic -1000th, household 2th, minority 0th, housing 0th.
Q3
Is tract 51059980100 considered part of Rollingwood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059980100 fall within Rollingwood (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q4
How does tract 51059980100 compare to Newington overall?
Tract 51059980100 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Newington at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newington; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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