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Neighborhood · Newington, VA

Rollingwood Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 2,163 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.5/10 · range 3.5–4.3

Rollingwood spans 2 census tracts of Newington, VA, population 2,163. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3.5/10, Lower tier. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1/10.

Severe burden reaches 25%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. 30% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, higher than the Newington rate of 22.7%.

Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.8/10. The filing record is not thin: 69 evictions logged in this tract. SNAP participation is 6.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Filing activity peaked in 2012 at 9.8% of renter households. Food insecurity affects 9.2% of adults, 8.6 points below the national rate. The voucher gap is 10.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

At $2,554 a month, rents sit 9% under what the rest of Newington commands. Recent filings have not receded much: 10.1% in 2016 against a 9.8% peak. At 15% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

Against average income of $179,740, annual rent is only 17%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

With little internal variation, 3.5/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.5
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Rollingwood vs Newington How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
30.0% +32%
Newington: 22.7%
Average gross rent
$2,554 -9%
Newington: $2,805
Average HH income
$179,740 +23%
Newington: $146,681
Poverty rate
3.9% +62%
Newington: 2.4%
Renter share
14.8% +7%
Newington: 13.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Rollingwood and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.5–4.3

Why Rollingwood scores 3.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.2–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Rent control risk
30% of income on rent · Range 3.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.8–5.0 across tracts
2.8
Tenant organizing strength
15% renter households · Range 3.2–4.0 across tracts
3.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.2–5.0 across tracts
3.2
Economic stress
3.9% below poverty line · Range 1.0–3.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Risk score comparison

Rollingwood vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Rollingwood score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Rollingwood: 3.53.5RollingwoodNeighborhoodParent city: 4.04.0Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Rollingwood

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51059980100 4.3 5
51059432800 3.5 2,158 30% $2,560
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 15

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 39%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 9%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 70%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 6%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Rollingwood

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 69Total filings (sum)
  • 7.72%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.8%Peak year (2012)
  • 10.10%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Rollingwood

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Rollingwood

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Rollingwood?

Rollingwood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Rollingwood compare to Newington overall?

Rollingwood scores 0.5 points lower than Newington overall (4/10). Renters spend 30% of income on rent vs 23% citywide. Average rent: $2,554 vs $2,805.
Q3

What is the average rent in Rollingwood?

Average gross rent in Rollingwood is $2,554/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Rollingwood residents are renters?

15% of Rollingwood households are renter-occupied (vs 14% in Newington). The neighborhood has 2,163 residents.
Q5

Is Rollingwood a high social-vulnerability area?

Rollingwood sits in the 15th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Rollingwood have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Rollingwood is census tract 51059980100 (score 4.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.5 to 4.3, a spread of 0.8 points.
Q7

How safe is Rollingwood for landlords?

Rollingwood carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Newington as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Rollingwood?

Rollingwood has 2,240 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (42.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (23.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (14%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Rollingwood

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Newington

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Rollingwood.

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