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Neighborhood · Newington, VA

Rollingwood Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 2,163 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.5/10 · range 3.5–4.3

Rollingwood spans 2 census tracts of Newington, VA, population 2,163. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3.5/10, Lower tier. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1/10.

Severe burden reaches 25%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. 30% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, higher than the Newington rate of 22.7%.

Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.8/10. The filing record is not thin: 69 evictions logged in this tract. SNAP participation is 6.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Filing activity peaked in 2012 at 9.8% of renter households. Food insecurity affects 9.2% of adults, 8.6 points below the national rate. The voucher gap is 10.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

At $2,554 a month, rents sit 9% under what the rest of Newington commands. Recent filings have not receded much: 10.1% in 2016 against a 9.8% peak. At 15% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

Against average income of $179,740, annual rent is only 17%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

With little internal variation, 3.5/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.5
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Rollingwood vs Newington How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
30.0% +32%
Newington: 22.7%
Average gross rent
$2,554 -9%
Newington: $2,805
Average HH income
$179,740 +23%
Newington: $146,681
Poverty rate
3.9% +62%
Newington: 2.4%
Renter share
14.8% +7%
Newington: 13.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Rollingwood and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.5–4.3

Why Rollingwood scores 3.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.2–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Rent control risk
30% of income on rent · Range 3.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.8–5.0 across tracts
2.8
Tenant organizing strength
15% renter households · Range 3.2–4.0 across tracts
3.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.2–5.0 across tracts
3.2
Economic stress
3.9% below poverty line · Range 1.0–3.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Risk score comparison

Rollingwood vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Rollingwood score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.5RollingwoodNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Rollingwood

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
51059980100 4.3 5 , ,
51059432800 3.5 2,158 30% $2,560
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 15

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 39%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 9%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 70%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 6%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Rollingwood

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 69Total filings (sum)
  • 7.72%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.8%Peak year (2012)
  • 10.10%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Rollingwood

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Rollingwood

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Rollingwood?

Rollingwood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Rollingwood compare to Newington overall?

Rollingwood scores 0.5 points lower than Newington overall (4/10). Renters spend 30% of income on rent vs 23% citywide. Average rent: $2,554 vs $2,805.
Q3

What is the average rent in Rollingwood?

Average gross rent in Rollingwood is $2,554/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Rollingwood residents are renters?

15% of Rollingwood households are renter-occupied (vs 14% in Newington). The neighborhood has 2,163 residents.
Q5

Is Rollingwood a high social-vulnerability area?

Rollingwood sits in the 15th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Rollingwood have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Rollingwood is census tract 51059980100 (score 4.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.5 to 4.3, a spread of 0.8 points.
Q7

How safe is Rollingwood for landlords?

Rollingwood carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Newington as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Rollingwood?

Rollingwood has 2,240 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (42.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (23.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (14%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Rollingwood

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Newington

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Rollingwood.

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