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Newington, Virginia eviction risk overview
City brief · 13,478 residents

Newington, VA Eviction Risk: MODERATE

Fairfax County · Population 13,478

In 2026
Risk score
4
MODERATE

70th percentile, Virginia.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min2.3 Average3.4 Now4
5.1 2.3 1976 · score 2.3 1977 · score 2.3 1978 · score 2.4 1979 · score 2.4 1980 · score 2.4 1981 · score 2.6 1982 · score 2.8 1983 · score 2.8 1984 · score 2.8 1985 · score 2.9 1986 · score 3.0 1987 · score 3.0 1988 · score 3.2 1989 · score 3.2 1990 · score 3.2 1991 · score 3.3 1992 · score 3.3 1993 · score 3.3 1994 · score 3.2 1995 · score 3.2 1996 · score 3.3 1997 · score 3.4 1998 · score 3.4 1999 · score 3.4 2000 · score 3.3 2001 · score 3.3 2002 · score 3.4 2003 · score 3.4 2004 · score 3.3 2005 · score 3.3 2006 · score 3.4 2007 · score 3.4 2008 · score 3.5 2009 · score 3.7 2010 · score 3.7 2011 · score 3.6 2012 · score 3.5 2013 · score 3.6 2014 · score 3.6 2015 · score 3.6 2016 · score 3.7 2017 · score 3.7 2018 · score 3.7 2019 · score 3.9 2020 · score 4.8 2021 · score 5.1 2022 · score 4.2 2023 · score 4.0 2024 · score 4.0 2025 · score 4.0 2026 · score 4.0

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 7.4 Regional 7.4 State 3.2 Economic 3.8 Supply 6.5 Rent Control 4.2 Eviction 2.8 Tenant 3.2 Housing 3.2 4 MODERATE
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +35.0% (2024)
    7.4
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    7.4
  3. State political climate
    Virginia legislature & governorship
    3.2
  4. Economic stress
    2.4% poverty · 3.5% unemp.
    3.8
  5. Supply constraint
    $2,805 average · 13.8% renters
    6.5
  6. Rent Control risk
    22.7% of income on rent
    4.2
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    49 days filing → judgment
    2.8
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    13.8% renters
    3.2
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    3.2
Geographic context

Risk heat across Newington and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Newington compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Fairfax County
Low
#46 of 65 cities
Rank in county, 30th percentileLowHigh
#46 of 65 cities in Fairfax County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Virginia
Elevated
#303 of 683 cities
Rank in state, 56th percentileLowHigh
#303 of 683 cities in Virginia for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Newington risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Newington: 4.04.0NewingtonThis cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avg

Virginia landlord-tenant law

Eviction rules are set at the state level. These are the Virginia statutes, timelines and dollar figures that govern every property on this page.

Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 4
    / 10 · MODERATE
    The verdict

    A Moderate-tier market.

    Composite 4/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a slow, steady climb.

    50-yr trend+1.7 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steady ratchet · no large swings

  2. 49d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $2,805/mo. A contested eviction takes 49 days and costs $1,877–$5,224 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026
  3. 13.8%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 13,478 residents, 13.8% rent. 23% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 2.4% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026
  4. 7.4
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 7.4 and 7.4 (Dem margin +35.0% (2024)). State climate at 3.2, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 3.2
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 3.2/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 2.8, housing court bias 3.2, rent-control risk 4.2. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-2.2 since '00
    197620012026
  6. 3.8
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 3.8. Supply constraint: 6.5. The numbers behind those: 2.4% poverty, 3.5% unemployment, 23% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Newington sits in the quick & cheap quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Arlington, VA · 57d · ~$4.2k all-in ($73/day) · score 6 Arlington Alexandria, VA · 58d · ~$3.7k all-in ($65/day) · score 5.9 Alexandria Centreville, VA · 51d · ~$3.6k all-in ($70/day) · score 4.1 Centreville Dale City, VA · 49d · ~$3.8k all-in ($78/day) · score 3.4 Dale City Reston, VA · 50d · ~$3.8k all-in ($76/day) · score 4.3 Reston Virginia Beach, VA · 50d · ~$3.9k all-in ($79/day) · score 3.8 Virginia Beach Chesapeake, VA · 54d · ~$3.9k all-in ($72/day) · score 3.4 Chesapeake Norfolk, VA · 53d · ~$3.7k all-in ($70/day) · score 4.1 Norfolk Richmond, VA · 55d · ~$3.5k all-in ($64/day) · score 4.3 Richmond Newport News, VA · 52d · ~$4.1k all-in ($79/day) · score 4 Newport News Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 3.7 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.6 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 4.3 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 8.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.7 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.6 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Newington
Newington · 49d · ~$3.6k all-in ($72/day) · score 4 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Newington, VA

Landlording in Newington, Virginia, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 4/10 (MODERATE tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Newington is a city of 13,478 residents where 13.8% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 22.7% of income on rent. At an average rent of $2,805/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Newington eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 2.8/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Newington closes 49 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Newington's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 3.2/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Newington runs $1,877 to $5,224 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 49 days of typical timeline and $2,805/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 3.2/10 in Newington, and the city has limited rent control exposure (4.2/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Virginia, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Newington: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a MODERATE tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Virginia's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $5,224 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Newington

Trap · PRACTICAL TRAP
The 4/10 score weighs nine sub-factors including political climate, court bias, supply constraint, and tenant organizing strength. Newington's rent-control-risk sub-score is 4.2/10, driven by state preemption and market dynamics.
04Eviction filings

Live filings tracking · Eviction Lab

Princeton Eviction Lab Tracking System, state-level (no county tracker available). Last update 2026-05-01.

In the most recent month, 10,534 eviction cases were filed across the tracker's coverage area, 1.07× the historical baseline (near baseline). Past 12 months: 139,873 filings. Pandemic-era cumulative: 643,855.

  • 10,534Past month
  • 139,873Past 12 months
  • 1.07×vs baseline (past mo)
Notice requirement: at least five days notice (in some cases more). Filing fee: minimum filing fee of $36.
Last 36 months of filings 2023-05-01 – 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings (Eviction Lab tracker)2023-05-01: 11,279 filings (0.99× hist)2023-06-01: 11,871 filings (1.01× hist)2023-07-01: 11,681 filings (1.01× hist)2023-08-01: 11,916 filings (1.00× hist)2023-09-01: 11,466 filings (1.00× hist)2023-10-01: 12,415 filings (1.00× hist)2023-11-01: 10,388 filings (0.96× hist)2023-12-01: 11,234 filings (1.04× hist)2024-01-01: 12,658 filings (1.00× hist)2024-02-01: 12,400 filings (1.08× hist)2024-03-01: 10,487 filings (0.95× hist)2024-04-01: 10,082 filings (1.02× hist)2024-05-01: 11,419 filings (1.01× hist)2024-06-01: 11,744 filings (1.00× hist)2024-07-01: 11,546 filings (0.99× hist)2024-08-01: 11,845 filings (1.00× hist)2024-09-01: 11,560 filings (1.00× hist)2024-10-01: 12,537 filings (1.01× hist)2024-11-01: 11,255 filings (1.04× hist)2024-12-01: 10,429 filings (0.96× hist)2025-01-01: 14,590 filings (1.15× hist)2025-02-01: 10,161 filings (0.91× hist)2025-03-01: 11,563 filings (1.04× hist)2025-04-01: 10,358 filings (1.05× hist)2025-05-01: 11,904 filings (1.05× hist)2025-06-01: 10,882 filings (0.92× hist)2025-07-01: 13,152 filings (1.13× hist)2025-08-01: 11,685 filings (0.98× hist)2025-09-01: 11,970 filings (1.04× hist)2025-10-01: 12,965 filings (1.04× hist)2025-11-01: 10,193 filings (0.94× hist)2025-12-01: 10,630 filings (0.98× hist)2026-01-01: 12,943 filings (1.02× hist)2026-02-01: 11,303 filings (1.01× hist)2026-03-01: 11,712 filings (1.06× hist)2026-04-01: 10,534 filings (1.07× hist)
Filings dropped 12% over the past 12 months.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What if my tenant claims a maintenance issue as a reason for not paying rent?

In Virginia, tenants generally cannot withhold rent for maintenance issues unless they have followed specific legal procedures, such as providing written notice to the landlord and waiting a reasonable time for repairs, or obtaining a court order. If they haven't, their non-payment is still grounds for eviction. Address maintenance promptly to avoid this defense.

Q2

Can I evict a tenant in Newington for being late with rent, even if they pay a few days later?

Yes, you can initiate the 5-day pay-or-quit notice as soon as rent is late. If they pay within those 5 days, the notice is voided. If they consistently pay late, even if they catch up, you might consider a non-renewal (with proper 30-day notice for a month-to-month lease) or addressing it in your lease with late fees and clear payment terms.

Q3

Is "cash for keys" legal in Newington, VA?

Yes, "cash for keys" is a legal and often effective strategy. It's a voluntary agreement where you offer a tenant money to vacate the property quickly and peacefully, leaving it in good condition. Always put the agreement in writing, clearly stating the terms and conditions, and only hand over the cash once the property is vacant and keys are returned.

Q4

Do I need a lawyer for an eviction in Fairfax County?

While not legally required, hiring a lawyer for an eviction in Fairfax County is highly recommended. The legal process has specific requirements, and even minor errors can lead to delays or dismissal, costing you more in lost rent and additional legal fees. An experienced attorney can navigate the court system efficiently and protect your interests.

Q5

Are there any rent control laws in Newington, VA?

No, there are no rent control laws in Newington, VA, or anywhere else in the state. Virginia has a statewide prohibition against rent control. This means landlords have the flexibility to set market-rate rents, subject to lease agreements. You can learn more about this on our Virginia rent control rules page.

Q6

What are the biggest tenant protections I should be aware of in Newington?

The primary tenant protections in Newington stem from the Virginia Residential Landlord and Tenant Act. These include proper notice periods for entry, limits on security deposits and their return, and requirements for maintaining habitable premises. While Virginia isn't considered a heavily tenant-protected state compared to some others, you must adhere to these statutes. Refer to our Virginia tenant protections guide for details.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 4/10 places Newington in the 70th percentile of Virginia cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has climbed steadily since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.