Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Ashland Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 51085320500 · Hanover County, VA · pop 3,216 · 8% of tract blocks fall in Ashland
Tract 51085320500 sits in Ashland, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.6/10. It is home to 3,216 residents. At $1,757 a month, rents run 43% over what the rest of Ashland commands.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,312
Renter share16.6%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate9.2%
Median income$102,222
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
National
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ashland and the region
Centroid at 37.7676, -77.5103 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ashland scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ashland
4.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.7
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
9.2% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,757 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ashland
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ashland
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ashland
5.9
How Ashland compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 14
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 21%Socioeconomic
- 32%Household composition
- 12%Racial/ethnic minority
- 17%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.1%Housing insecurity
- 4.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.7%Food insecurity
- 7.1%SNAP enrollment
- 5.2%Transit barriers
- 6.2%No health insurance
- 14.2%Frequent mental distress
- 32.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ashland
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.7/10. Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10. roughly one in four of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Hanover County average of 36.2%. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.3/10.
SNAP participation runs 7.1% against 15.2% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 7.1% against 14.2% nationally. Against the Hanover County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points.
That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 17% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 2.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51085320500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51085320500?
Census tract 51085320500 in Ashland scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51085320500?
Median gross rent is $1,757/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51085320500?
9.2% of residents in tract 51085320500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,216.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51085320500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 32th, minority 12th, housing 17th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 51085320500 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 51085320500 compare to Ashland overall?
Tract 51085320500 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Ashland at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ashland; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ashland
Top eight tracts in Ashland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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