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Census Tract · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally

Tract 51085320400 Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 51085320400 · Hanover County, VA · pop 5,455

51085320400 is a census tract in Hanover County, VA. It scores 4.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,455 residents. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.7/10.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 15% Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units2,275
Renter share23.2%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate7.4%
Median income$90,894

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 25 tracts In Hanover County
High
Within state
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#800 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
National
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#42,813 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Hanover County and the region

Centroid at 37.7232, -77.5209 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tract 51085320400 scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.7
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
7.4% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,226 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How Tract 51085320400 compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tract 51085320400 risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.4This tracttract 3204003.9Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 40

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tract 51085320400

Running cool, economic stress reads 1.9/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.2/10. 13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Food insecurity runs 10.0% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 8.0% against 15.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 49th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 23% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.6/10. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $90,894, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 33% of renters.

It tracks the Hanover County average of 3.9 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 51085320400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51085320400?

Census tract 51085320400 in Hanover County scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51085320400?

Median gross rent is $1,226/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51085320400?

7.4% of residents in tract 51085320400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,455.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51085320400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 18th, minority 38th, housing 54th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 51085320400 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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