Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally
Tract 51085321402 Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 51085321402 · Hanover County, VA · pop 3,434
With a score of 4/10, tract 51085321402 in Hanover County, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,363
Renter share10.2%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate6.4%
Median income$100,708
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within state
53
th percentile
Moderate
National
42
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Hanover County and the region
Centroid at 37.5993, -77.2498 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tract 51085321402 scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.7
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
6.4% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,005 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Tract 51085321402 compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 3
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 22%Socioeconomic
- 13%Household composition
- 12%Racial/ethnic minority
- 1%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.1%Housing insecurity
- 5.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.6%Food insecurity
- 7.8%SNAP enrollment
- 5.8%Transit barriers
- 6.6%No health insurance
- 15.9%Frequent mental distress
- 32.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tract 51085321402
Cost burden runs roughly one in four here against 36.2% across Hanover County. The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.7/10.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.6/10. Food insecurity runs 9.6% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 7.8% against 15.2% nationally.
On the national scale it lands near the 42nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 1.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $100,708, annual rent is just 12%.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Hanover County average of 3.9 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51085321402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51085321402?
Census tract 51085321402 in Hanover County scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51085321402?
Median gross rent is $1,005/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51085321402?
6.4% of residents in tract 51085321402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,434.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51085321402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 13th, minority 12th, housing 1th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 51085321402 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Related