Neighborhood · Ranked #25,671 of 84,120 nationally

Tuckahoe Village West Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 51087200123 · Henrico County, VA · pop 3,173 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi

Tract 51087200123 covers the Tuckahoe Village West neighborhood of Tuckahoe in Virginia. Home to 3,173 residents, it scores 6.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #19,757 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 32% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,564 a month while the average household earns $77,108 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 56% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.9

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 38% Owners 44%

Tract context

Occupied units1,444

Renter share55.6%

SVI overall0.25

Poverty rate10.0%

Median income$77,108

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Tuckahoe and the region

Centroid at 37.6177, -77.6430 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tuckahoe Village West scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Tuckahoe

8.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.5

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

10.0% poverty · this tract

2.5

Supply constraint

$1,564 rent vs county FMR

4.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Tuckahoe

6.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Tuckahoe

7.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Tuckahoe

5.4

How Tuckahoe Village West compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 25

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

41%Socioeconomic
46%Household composition
64%Racial/ethnic minority
5%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

352Total filings over 2 yrs
25.69%Avg annual filing rate
28.3%Peak (2016)
180Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.9%Housing insecurity
7.1%Utility-shutoff threat
11.7%Food insecurity
9.4%SNAP enrollment
7.2%Transit barriers
7.8%No health insurance
16.2%Frequent mental distress
29.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tuckahoe Village West

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tuckahoe eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Henrico County average of 6.1 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 352 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 25.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 28.3% of renter households in 2016.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51087200123

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200123?

Census tract 51087200123 in the Tuckahoe Village West neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51087200123?

Median gross rent is $1,564/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200123?

10.0% of residents in tract 51087200123 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,173.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200123?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 46th, minority 64th, housing 5th.

Is tract 51087200123 considered part of Tuckahoe Village West?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087200123 fall within Tuckahoe Village West (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51087200123?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 352 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51087200123 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 25.69% of renter households, peaking at 28.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 51087200123 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51087200123 compare to Tuckahoe overall?

Tract 51087200123 scores 5.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Tuckahoe at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tuckahoe eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tuckahoe

Top eight tracts in Tuckahoe ranked by composite eviction-risk score.