Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Westham Eviction Risk: Lower , Tuckahoe
Tract 51087200202 · Henrico County, VA · pop 4,046 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 51087200202 sits in the Westham area of Tuckahoe eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 4,046. At $2,257 a month, rents run 47% over what the rest of Tuckahoe commands.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units1,527
Renter share4.6%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate0.5%
Median income$159,810
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
21
th percentile
Low
Within state
18
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tuckahoe and the region
Centroid at 37.5864, -77.5439 · click any tract to drill in
Why Westham scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tuckahoe
8.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
0.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,257 rent vs county FMR
8.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tuckahoe
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tuckahoe
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tuckahoe
5.4
How Westham compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 7
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 7%Socioeconomic
- 63%Household composition
- 8%Racial/ethnic minority
- 4%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 2%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 6Total filings over 2 yrs
- 3.43%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.4%Peak (2015)
- 3Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.6%Housing insecurity
- 3.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 4.3%Food insecurity
- 3.0%SNAP enrollment
- 3.3%Transit barriers
- 3.8%No health insurance
- 12.7%Frequent mental distress
- 22.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Westham
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.7/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. The voucher gap is 31.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.6/10. Cost burden runs 39% here against 47.8% across Henrico County.
Food insecurity runs 4.3% against 17.8% nationally. The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
It sits 1.3 points below the Henrico County average of 4.3. Court records carry 6 eviction filings across 2 observed years. Adults with no health insurance runs 3.8% against 11.3% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2015, when 2.4% of renter households were served.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51087200202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200202?
Census tract 51087200202 in the Westham neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51087200202?
Median gross rent is $2,257/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200202?
0.5% of residents in tract 51087200202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,046.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 63th, minority 8th, housing 4th.
Q5
Is tract 51087200202 considered part of Westham?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087200202 fall within Westham (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51087200202?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 6 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51087200202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.43% of renter households, peaking at 2.4% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51087200202 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51087200202 compare to Tuckahoe overall?
Tract 51087200202 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Tuckahoe at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tuckahoe eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51087200202 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tuckahoe
Top eight tracts in Tuckahoe ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Grayson Hill
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Sweet Briar Park
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Wedgewood
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Gayton Green
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Wedgewood
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Tuckahoe Village West
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Grayson Hill
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Drouin Hill
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Related