Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Laurel Village Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 51087200411 · Henrico County, VA · pop 5,343 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 51087200411 covers part of the Laurel Village area of Laurel, VA, and scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,343 residents. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.7/10.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 31%
Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units2,459
Renter share56.9%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate9.4%
Median income$63,349
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
75
th percentile
High
Within state
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Laurel and the region
Centroid at 37.6394, -77.5262 · click any tract to drill in
Why Laurel Village scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Laurel
8.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
9.4% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,602 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Laurel
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Laurel
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Laurel
6.0
How Laurel Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 64
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 58%Socioeconomic
- 56%Household composition
- 74%Racial/ethnic minority
- 58%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 751Total filings over 2 yrs
- 27.69%Avg annual filing rate
- 26.1%Peak (2016)
- 376Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Laurel Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.3%Housing insecurity
- 8.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.3%Food insecurity
- 12.0%SNAP enrollment
- 8.7%Transit barriers
- 9.3%No health insurance
- 17.8%Frequent mental distress
- 29.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Laurel Village
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.1/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.6/10. Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
It sits 0.9 points above the Henrico County average of 4.3. Court records carry 751 eviction filings across 2 observed years.
Filings peaked in 2016 at 26.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 27.7% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 6.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 46% of renters.
Average gross rent is $1,602, close to the Laurel average. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $63,349. 57% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51087200411
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200411?
Census tract 51087200411 in the Laurel Village neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51087200411?
Median gross rent is $1,602/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200411?
9.4% of residents in tract 51087200411 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,343.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200411?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 56th, minority 74th, housing 58th.
Q5
Is tract 51087200411 considered part of Laurel Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087200411 fall within Laurel Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51087200411?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 751 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51087200411 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 27.69% of renter households, peaking at 26.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51087200411 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51087200411 compare to Laurel overall?
Tract 51087200411 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Laurel at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Laurel; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Laurel
Top eight tracts in Laurel ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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