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Neighborhood · Ranked #56,660 of 84,120 nationally

Laurel Village Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 51087200411 · Henrico County, VA · pop 5,343 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Eviction risk in Laurel Village in Laurel centers on tract 51087200411, which scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 5,343 residents. On the national scale it ranks #8,799 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

46% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,602 a month while the average household earns $63,349 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 57% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 31% Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units2,459
Renter share56.9%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate9.4%
Median income$63,349

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Laurel Village
Very Low
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In Laurel
Moderate
Within county
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#31 of 85 tracts In Henrico County
Elevated
Within state
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#960 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Laurel and the region

Centroid at 37.6394, -77.5262 · click any tract to drill in

Why Laurel Village scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Laurel
8.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
9.4% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,602 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Laurel
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Laurel
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Laurel
6.0

How Laurel Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Laurel Village risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.13.1This tracttract 200411Laurel: 3.63.6Laurelparent cityCounty: 2.82.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 64

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 751Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 27.69%Avg annual filing rate
  • 26.1%Peak (2016)
  • 376Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Laurel Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Laurel Village

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Laurel, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Henrico County average of 6.1 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 751 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 27.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 26.1% of renter households in 2016.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51087200411

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200411?

Census tract 51087200411 in the Laurel Village neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51087200411?

Median gross rent is $1,602/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200411?

9.4% of residents in tract 51087200411 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,343.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200411?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 56th, minority 74th, housing 58th.
Q5

Is tract 51087200411 considered part of Laurel Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087200411 fall within Laurel Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51087200411?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 751 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51087200411 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 27.69% of renter households, peaking at 26.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51087200411 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51087200411 compare to Laurel overall?

Tract 51087200411 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Laurel at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Laurel; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Laurel

Top eight tracts in Laurel ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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