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Neighborhood · Laurel, VA

Laurel Village Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 7,275 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.3/10 · range 5.2–5.6

Laurel Village is a 2-tract neighborhood of Laurel, VA and houses 7,275 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.3/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs about half against 33.0% citywide, putting Laurel Village 16.8% over its own city.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10. 66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. Severe burden reaches 17%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.8/10. Filings are well documented here: 1,207 across 2 observed tracts. On the softer side is economic stress, at 2.5/10.

Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 26.1% of renter households. Judgments average 5.3% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. For a like-for-like read, Lydell Heights and Randolph Ridge score within a fraction of it.

The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.4 points apart at the extremes. Average gross rent runs $1,521, close to the Laurel average. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $59,247.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Laurel Village vs Laurel How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
49.8% +51%
Laurel: 33.0%
Average gross rent
$1,521 -6%
Laurel: $1,616
Average HH income
$59,247 -15%
Laurel: $69,932
Poverty rate
9.9% +34%
Laurel: 7.4%
Renter share
66.4% +38%
Laurel: 48.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Laurel Village and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.2–5.6

Why Laurel Village scores 5.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts
8.6
Rent control risk
50% of income on rent · Range 7.8–7.8 across tracts
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
66% renter households · Range 9.1–9.1 across tracts
9.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Economic stress
9.9% below poverty line · Range 2.4–2.8 across tracts
2.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.6–4.4 across tracts
3.9
Risk score comparison

Laurel Village vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Laurel Village score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.3Laurel VillageNeighborhood4.4Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Laurel Village

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51087200412 5.6 1,932 61% $1,298
51087200411 5.2 5,343 46% $1,602
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 69

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 63%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 63%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 76%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 62%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Laurel Village

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,207Total filings (sum)
  • 26.40%Avg annual filing rate
  • 26.1%Peak year (2016)
  • 25.64%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Laurel Village

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Laurel Village

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Laurel Village?

Laurel Village scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Laurel Village compare to Laurel overall?

Laurel Village scores 0.9 points higher than Laurel overall (4.4/10). Renters spend 50% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,521 vs $1,616.
Q3

What is the average rent in Laurel Village?

Average gross rent in Laurel Village is $1,521/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Laurel Village residents are renters?

66% of Laurel Village households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Laurel). The neighborhood has 7,275 residents.
Q5

Is Laurel Village a high social-vulnerability area?

Laurel Village sits in the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Laurel Village have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Laurel Village is census tract 51087200412 (score 5.6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.2 to 5.6, a spread of 0.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Laurel Village for landlords?

Laurel Village carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Laurel as a whole (4.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Laurel Village?

Laurel Village has 7,311 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (37.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (35.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (10.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Laurel Village

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Laurel

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Laurel Village.

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