Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #51,553 of 84,120 nationally
Laurel Village Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 51087200412 · Henrico County, VA · pop 1,932 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
The Laurel Village area of Laurel anchors census tract 51087200412, which lands at 6.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #7,452 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 61% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,298 monthly, set against $47,903 in average yearly household income, roughly 33% of income at the averages. About 93% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 57%
Stable renters 36%
Owners 7%
Tract context
Occupied units1,080
Renter share92.7%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate11.1%
Median income$47,903
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
62
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Laurel and the region
Centroid at 37.6331, -77.5143 · click any tract to drill in
Why Laurel Village scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Laurel
8.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
11.1% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,298 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Laurel
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Laurel
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Laurel
6.0
How Laurel Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 75%Socioeconomic
- 81%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 72%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 456Total filings over 2 yrs
- 22.85%Avg annual filing rate
- 24.4%Peak (2016)
- 244Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Laurel Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.9%Housing insecurity
- 9.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.3%Food insecurity
- 13.7%SNAP enrollment
- 9.8%Transit barriers
- 12.1%No health insurance
- 17.9%Frequent mental distress
- 31.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Laurel Village
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Laurel, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Henrico County average of 6.1 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 456 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 22.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 24.4% of renter households in 2016.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 51087200412
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200412?
Census tract 51087200412 in the Laurel Village neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51087200412?
Median gross rent is $1,298/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200412?
11.1% of residents in tract 51087200412 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,932.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200412?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 81th, minority 80th, housing 72th.
Q5
Is tract 51087200412 considered part of Laurel Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087200412 fall within Laurel Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51087200412?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 456 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51087200412 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 22.85% of renter households, peaking at 24.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51087200412 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51087200412 compare to Laurel overall?
Tract 51087200412 scores 3.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Laurel at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Laurel; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Laurel
Top eight tracts in Laurel ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related