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Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally

Mayfair Place Eviction Risk: Lower , East Highland Park

Tract 51087201001 · Henrico County, VA · pop 6,587 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 51087201001 covers part of the Mayfair Place area of East Highland Park, VA, and scores 3.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,587 residents. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.7/10.

Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 16% Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units2,621
Renter share31.3%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate1.7%
Median income$85,081

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Mayfair Place
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In East Highland Park
Very Low
Within county
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#51 of 85 tracts In Henrico County
Moderate
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#1,425 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across East Highland Park and the region

Centroid at 37.5772, -77.3771 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mayfair Place scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from East Highland Park
8.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,229 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from East Highland Park
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East Highland Park
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from East Highland Park
7.4

How Mayfair Place compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mayfair Place risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.5This tracttract 2010014.0East Highland Parkparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 43

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 663Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 45.56%Avg annual filing rate
  • 43.6%Peak (2016)
  • 352Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mayfair Place

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. 24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.9/10. Court records carry 663 eviction filings across 2 observed years.

Against the Henrico County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. Filings peaked in 2016 at 43.6% of renter households.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Richmond. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 45.6% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 31% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $85,081, annual rent is just 17%.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 51087201001

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087201001?

Census tract 51087201001 in the Mayfair Place neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51087201001?

Median gross rent is $1,229/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51087201001?

1.7% of residents in tract 51087201001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,587.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51087201001?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 60th, minority 90th, housing 49th.
Q5

Is tract 51087201001 considered part of Mayfair Place?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087201001 fall within Mayfair Place (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51087201001?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 663 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51087201001 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 45.56% of renter households, peaking at 43.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51087201001 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51087201001 compare to East Highland Park overall?

Tract 51087201001 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of East Highland Park at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East Highland Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 51087201001 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in East Highland Park

Top eight tracts in East Highland Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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