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Neighborhood · East Highland Park, VA

Mayfair Place Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 6,587 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.5/10 · range 3.5–3.5

Mayfair Place maps to a single census tract in East Highland Park, VA, population 6,587. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.5/10, placing it in the Lower tier. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1/10.

Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 8.9/10. 24% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Against a East Highland Park baseline of 41.6%, 47% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.2/10. The filing record is not thin: 663 evictions logged in this tract.

The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 43.6% of renter households. At $1,229 a month, rents sit 7% under what the rest of East Highland Park commands. Judgments average 8.0% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

The closest comparables inside the same city are East Highland Park and Oak Hill. Rent takes 17% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.5/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.5
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Mayfair Place vs East Highland Park How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
47.4% +14%
East Highland Park: 41.6%
Average gross rent
$1,229 -7%
East Highland Park: $1,318
Average HH income
$85,081 +22%
East Highland Park: $69,750
Poverty rate
1.7% -86%
East Highland Park: 12.1%
Renter share
31.3% -6%
East Highland Park: 33.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mayfair Place and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.5–3.5

Why Mayfair Place scores 3.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts
8.6
Rent control risk
47% of income on rent · Range 8.9–8.9 across tracts
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
31% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Economic stress
1.7% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Risk score comparison

Mayfair Place vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Mayfair Place score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.5Mayfair PlaceNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Mayfair Place

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
51087201001 3.5 6,587 47% $1,229
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 43

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 18%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 60%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 90%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 49%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Mayfair Place

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 663Total filings (sum)
  • 45.56%Avg annual filing rate
  • 43.6%Peak year (2016)
  • 43.56%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Mayfair Place

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Mayfair Place

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Mayfair Place?

Mayfair Place scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Mayfair Place compare to East Highland Park overall?

Mayfair Place scores 0.5 points lower than East Highland Park overall (4/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 42% citywide. Average rent: $1,229 vs $1,318.
Q3

What is the average rent in Mayfair Place?

Average gross rent in Mayfair Place is $1,229/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Mayfair Place residents are renters?

31% of Mayfair Place households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in East Highland Park). The neighborhood has 6,587 residents.
Q5

Is Mayfair Place a high social-vulnerability area?

Mayfair Place sits in the 43rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Mayfair Place for landlords?

Mayfair Place carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to East Highland Park as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Mayfair Place?

Mayfair Place has 6,397 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (86.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (9%), Hispanic / Latino (3.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Mayfair Place

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside East Highland Park

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Mayfair Place.

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