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Neighborhood · Ranked #72,539 of 84,120 nationally

Vistas at Lansdowne Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 51107611010 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 1,901 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

For landlords sizing up the Vistas at Lansdowne area of Lansdowne, census tract 51107611010 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.6/10. It lands near the 59th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 73% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 49% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $3,083 a month against an average household income of $85,099 a year, roughly 43% of income at the averages. Renters make up 10% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 3% Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,157
Renter share9.5%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate7.0%
Median income$85,099

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Vistas at Lansdowne
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Lansdowne
Very High
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 75 tracts In Loudoun County
High
Within state
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#1,393 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lansdowne and the region

Centroid at 39.0814, -77.4727 · click any tract to drill in

Why Vistas at Lansdowne scores 2.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lansdowne
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
7.0% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$3,083 rent vs county FMR
8.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lansdowne
3.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lansdowne
5.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lansdowne
3.3

How Vistas at Lansdowne compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Vistas at Lansdowne risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.12.1This tracttract 611010Lansdowne: 3.23.2Lansdowneparent cityCounty: 1.31.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 19

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 0.47%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.5%Peak (2016)
  • 1Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Vistas at Lansdowne

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 8.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lansdowne, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Loudoun County average of 5.2 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 19th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 0.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 0.5% of renter households in 2016.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51107611010

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611010?

Census tract 51107611010 in the Vistas at Lansdowne neighborhood scores 2.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51107611010?

Median gross rent is $3,083/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611010?

7.0% of residents in tract 51107611010 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,901.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611010?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 58th, minority 36th, housing 24th.
Q5

Is tract 51107611010 considered part of Vistas at Lansdowne?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51107611010 fall within Vistas at Lansdowne (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107611010?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107611010 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.47% of renter households, peaking at 0.5% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51107611010 struggle to pay rent?

About 2.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51107611010 compare to Lansdowne overall?

Tract 51107611010 scores 2.1/10, lower than the parent city of Lansdowne at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lansdowne; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lansdowne

Top eight tracts in Lansdowne ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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