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Neighborhood · Ranked #81,634 of 84,120 nationally

Lansdowne Village Green Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 51107611011 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 3,777 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 51107611011 (the Lansdowne Village Green neighborhood of Lansdowne, Virginia) comes in at 5.1/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 40% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

39% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,270 monthly, set against $132,857 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 27% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,558
Renter share44.7%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate5.2%
Median income$132,857

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Lansdowne Village Green
Moderate
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Lansdowne
Elevated
Within county
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#26 of 75 tracts In Loudoun County
Elevated
Within state
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#1,918 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lansdowne and the region

Centroid at 39.0813, -77.4959 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lansdowne Village Green scores 1.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lansdowne
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.2% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$2,270 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lansdowne
3.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lansdowne
5.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lansdowne
3.3

How Lansdowne Village Green compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lansdowne Village Green risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.21.2This tracttract 611011Lansdowne: 3.23.2Lansdowneparent cityCounty: 1.31.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 32

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 82Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 9.36%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.4%Peak (2016)
  • 82Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lansdowne Village Green

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 5.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lansdowne, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Loudoun County average of 5.2 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 82 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 9.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.4% of renter households in 2016.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51107611011

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611011?

Census tract 51107611011 in the Lansdowne Village Green neighborhood scores 1.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51107611011?

Median gross rent is $2,270/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611011?

5.2% of residents in tract 51107611011 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,777.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611011?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 36th, minority 58th, housing 47th.
Q5

Is tract 51107611011 considered part of Lansdowne Village Green?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51107611011 fall within Lansdowne Village Green (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107611011?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 82 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107611011 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.36% of renter households, peaking at 9.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51107611011 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51107611011 compare to Lansdowne overall?

Tract 51107611011 scores 1.2/10, lower than the parent city of Lansdowne at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lansdowne; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lansdowne

Top eight tracts in Lansdowne ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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