Neighborhood · Ranked #50,269 of 84,120 nationally

River Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lansdowne

Tract 51107610507 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 5,958 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 51107610507 sits in the River Creek neighborhood of Lansdowne, Virginia. It has a population of 5,958 and an eviction-risk score of 5.0/10 (Moderate tier). 34% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 0% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $2,618/month against a median household income of $198,900 — roughly 16% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score

5.0

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 2% Owners 97%

Tract context

Occupied units1,876

Renter share3.1%

SVI overall0.05

Poverty rate3.7%

Median income$198,900

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lansdowne and the region

Centroid at 39.1019, -77.4945 · click any tract to drill in

Why River Creek scores 5.0

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lansdowne

6.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.3

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

3.7% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$2,618 rent vs county FMR

6.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lansdowne

3.6

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.9

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lansdowne

5.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lansdowne

3.3

How River Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 5

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

8%Socioeconomic
31%Household composition
44%Racial/ethnic minority
3%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

7Total filings over 1 yrs
6.09%Avg annual filing rate
6.1%Peak (2016)
7Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

6.2%Housing insecurity
4.0%Utility-shutoff threat
6.9%Food insecurity
4.5%SNAP enrollment
4.4%Transit barriers
5.3%No health insurance
13.0%Frequent mental distress
23.7%Any disability

Frequently asked

About tract 51107610507

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107610507?

Census tract 51107610507 in the River Creek neighborhood scores 5.0/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51107610507?

Median gross rent is $2,618/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51107610507?

3.7% of residents in tract 51107610507 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,958.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51107610507?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 31th, minority 44th, housing 3th.

Is tract 51107610507 considered part of River Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51107610507 fall within River Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107610507?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 7 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107610507 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.09% of renter households, peaking at 6.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 51107610507 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51107610507 compare to Lansdowne overall?

Tract 51107610507 scores 5.0/10 — right in line with the parent city of Lansdowne at 5.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lansdowne; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lansdowne

Top eight tracts in Lansdowne ranked by composite eviction-risk score.