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Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally

River Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Lansdowne

Tract 51107610507 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 5,958 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 51107610507 covers part of the River Creek area of Lansdowne, VA, and scores 3.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,958 residents. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 2% Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units1,876
Renter share3.1%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate3.7%
Median income$198,900

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In River Creek
Moderate
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Lansdowne
Low
Within county
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#48 of 75 tracts In Loudoun County
Low
Within state
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#1,203 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lansdowne and the region

Centroid at 39.1019, -77.4945 · click any tract to drill in

Why River Creek scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lansdowne
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,618 rent vs county FMR
6.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lansdowne
3.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lansdowne
5.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lansdowne
3.3

How River Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
River Creek risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.8This tracttract 6105074.0Lansdowneparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 5

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 7Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 6.09%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.1%Peak (2016)
  • 7Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in River Creek

Food insecurity runs 6.9% against 17.8% nationally. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.3/10.

The filing record is not thin: 7 evictions over 1 years of observation. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.9/10. Housing insecurity runs 6.2% against 14.2% nationally.

The voucher gap is 13.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Average gross rent is $2,618, 11% above the Lansdowne average.

Filings peaked in 2016 at 6.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 6.1% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 38th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 3% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $198,900, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51107610507

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107610507?

Census tract 51107610507 in the River Creek neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51107610507?

Median gross rent is $2,618/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51107610507?

3.7% of residents in tract 51107610507 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,958.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51107610507?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 31th, minority 44th, housing 3th.
Q5

Is tract 51107610507 considered part of River Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51107610507 fall within River Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107610507?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 7 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107610507 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.09% of renter households, peaking at 6.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51107610507 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51107610507 compare to Lansdowne overall?

Tract 51107610507 scores 3.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Lansdowne at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lansdowne; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lansdowne

Top eight tracts in Lansdowne ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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