River Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Lansdowne
Tract 51107610507 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 5,958 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 51107610507 covers part of the River Creek area of Lansdowne, VA, and scores 3.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,958 residents. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Lansdowne and the region
Centroid at 39.1019, -77.4945 · click any tract to drill in
Why River Creek scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow River Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 5
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 8%Socioeconomic
- 31%Household composition
- 44%Racial/ethnic minority
- 3%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 7Total filings over 1 yrs
- 6.09%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.1%Peak (2016)
- 7Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.2%Housing insecurity
- 4.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.9%Food insecurity
- 4.5%SNAP enrollment
- 4.4%Transit barriers
- 5.3%No health insurance
- 13.0%Frequent mental distress
- 23.7%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in River Creek
Food insecurity runs 6.9% against 17.8% nationally. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.3/10.
The filing record is not thin: 7 evictions over 1 years of observation. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.9/10. Housing insecurity runs 6.2% against 14.2% nationally.
The voucher gap is 13.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Average gross rent is $2,618, 11% above the Lansdowne average.
Filings peaked in 2016 at 6.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 6.1% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 38th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 3% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $198,900, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 51107610507
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107610507?
What is the average rent in tract 51107610507?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107610507?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107610507?
Is tract 51107610507 considered part of River Creek?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107610507?
What share of households in tract 51107610507 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51107610507 compare to Lansdowne overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Lansdowne
Top eight tracts in Lansdowne ranked by composite eviction-risk score.