Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally

Lansdowne Village Green Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 51107611011 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 3,777 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 51107611011 covers part of the Lansdowne Village Green area of Lansdowne, VA, and scores 4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,777 residents. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.3/10.

Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 27% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,558
Renter share44.7%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate5.2%
Median income$132,857

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Lansdowne Village Green
Moderate
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Lansdowne
Elevated
Within county
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#28 of 75 tracts In Loudoun County
Elevated
Within state
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#1,032 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lansdowne and the region

Centroid at 39.0813, -77.4959 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lansdowne Village Green scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lansdowne
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.2% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$2,270 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lansdowne
3.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lansdowne
5.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lansdowne
3.3

How Lansdowne Village Green compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lansdowne Village Green risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.04.0This tracttract 611011Lansdowne: 4.04.0Lansdowneparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 32

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 82Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 9.36%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.4%Peak (2016)
  • 82Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lansdowne Village Green

Severe burden reaches 13%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.3/10. SNAP participation runs 6.1% against 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity runs 9.0% against 17.8% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 82 evictions over 1 years of observation.

Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.9/10. The worst year on record was 2016, when 9.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 9.4% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 42nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 39% of renters. It tracks the Loudoun County average of 4.1 closely.

Average gross rent is $2,270, close to the Lansdowne average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 51107611011

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611011?

Census tract 51107611011 in the Lansdowne Village Green neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51107611011?

Median gross rent is $2,270/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611011?

5.2% of residents in tract 51107611011 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,777.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611011?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 36th, minority 58th, housing 47th.
Q5

Is tract 51107611011 considered part of Lansdowne Village Green?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51107611011 fall within Lansdowne Village Green (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107611011?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 82 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107611011 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.36% of renter households, peaking at 9.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51107611011 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51107611011 compare to Lansdowne overall?

Tract 51107611011 scores 4/10, right in line with the parent city of Lansdowne at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lansdowne; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lansdowne

Top eight tracts in Lansdowne ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related