Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Vistas at Lansdowne Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 51107611010 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 1,901 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 5.2/10, tract 51107611010 in the Vistas at Lansdowne area of Lansdowne, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,901. 49% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,157
Renter share9.5%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate7.0%
Median income$85,099
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
92
th percentile
Very High
Within state
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lansdowne and the region
Centroid at 39.0814, -77.4727 · click any tract to drill in
Why Vistas at Lansdowne scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lansdowne
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
7.0% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$3,083 rent vs county FMR
8.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lansdowne
3.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lansdowne
5.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lansdowne
3.3
How Vistas at Lansdowne compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 19
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 9%Socioeconomic
- 58%Household composition
- 36%Racial/ethnic minority
- 24%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1Total filings over 1 yrs
- 0.47%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.5%Peak (2016)
- 1Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 2.9%Housing insecurity
- 2.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 4.7%Food insecurity
- 3.4%SNAP enrollment
- 3.0%Transit barriers
- 4.9%No health insurance
- 8.0%Frequent mental distress
- 39.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Vistas at Lansdowne
Against Loudoun County at 37.5%, 73% of renters here are cost-burdened. Set annual rent against average income of $85,099 and the ratio lands at 43%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
The voucher gap is 33.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The dominant input is supply constraint at 8.3/10.
Average gross rent is $3,083, 30% above the Lansdowne average. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.8/10.
Food insecurity runs 4.7% against 17.8% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 2.9% against 14.2% nationally. It sits 1.1 points above the Loudoun County average of 4.1.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.3/10. The filing record is not thin: 1 evictions over 1 years of observation.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51107611010
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611010?
Census tract 51107611010 in the Vistas at Lansdowne neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51107611010?
Median gross rent is $3,083/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611010?
7.0% of residents in tract 51107611010 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,901.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611010?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 58th, minority 36th, housing 24th.
Q5
Is tract 51107611010 considered part of Vistas at Lansdowne?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51107611010 fall within Vistas at Lansdowne (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107611010?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107611010 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.47% of renter households, peaking at 0.5% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51107611010 struggle to pay rent?
About 2.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51107611010 compare to Lansdowne overall?
Tract 51107611010 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Lansdowne at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lansdowne; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lansdowne
Top eight tracts in Lansdowne ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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