Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #79,124 of 84,120 nationally
Cramers Ridge Eviction Risk: Lower , Triangle
Tract 51153900905 · Prince William County, VA · pop 6,152 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 51153900905 (Cramers Ridge in Triangle, Virginia) comes in at 6.1/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than about 77% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 51% of renter households, a severe level, and 40% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,694 monthly, set against $134,227 in average yearly household income, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 19% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,868
Renter share19.0%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate8.5%
Median income$134,227
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
22
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Triangle and the region
Centroid at 38.5412, -77.3179 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cramers Ridge scores 1.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Triangle
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
8.5% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,694 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Triangle
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Triangle
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Triangle
5.4
How Cramers Ridge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 55%Socioeconomic
- 57%Household composition
- 81%Racial/ethnic minority
- 26%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 65Total filings over 1 yrs
- 13.63%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.6%Peak (2016)
- 65Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.1%Housing insecurity
- 8.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.0%Food insecurity
- 10.4%SNAP enrollment
- 8.0%Transit barriers
- 8.5%No health insurance
- 15.7%Frequent mental distress
- 28.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cramers Ridge
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Triangle, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Prince William County average of 5.7 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 65 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 13.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 13.6% of renter households in 2016.
In CDC survey modeling, about 13.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 51153900905
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51153900905?
Census tract 51153900905 in the Cramers Ridge neighborhood scores 1.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51153900905?
Median gross rent is $1,694/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51153900905?
8.5% of residents in tract 51153900905 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,152.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51153900905?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 57th, minority 81th, housing 26th.
Q5
Is tract 51153900905 considered part of Cramers Ridge?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51153900905 fall within Cramers Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51153900905?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 65 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51153900905 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.63% of renter households, peaking at 13.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51153900905 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51153900905 compare to Triangle overall?
Tract 51153900905 scores 1.5/10, lower than the parent city of Triangle at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Triangle; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Triangle
Top eight tracts in Triangle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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