Country Roads Eviction Risk: Lower , Buckhall
Tract 51153901303 · Prince William County, VA · pop 5,165 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
For landlords sizing up the Country Roads neighborhood of Buckhall, census tract 51153901303 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.2/10. On the national scale it ranks #17,442 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
93% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 87% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,789 monthly, set against $185,972 in average yearly household income, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 11% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Buckhall and the region
Centroid at 38.7272, -77.4864 · click any tract to drill in
Why Country Roads scores 1.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Country Roads compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 9
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 13%Socioeconomic
- 22%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 6%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 10Total filings over 1 yrs
- 21.28%Avg annual filing rate
- 21.3%Peak (2016)
- 10Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.0%Housing insecurity
- 5.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.8%Food insecurity
- 6.7%SNAP enrollment
- 5.9%Transit barriers
- 7.4%No health insurance
- 14.6%Frequent mental distress
- 24.7%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Country Roads
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 7.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Buckhall eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Prince William County average of 5.7 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 9th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 9.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
About tract 51153901303
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51153901303?
What is the average rent in tract 51153901303?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51153901303?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51153901303?
Is tract 51153901303 considered part of Country Roads?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51153901303?
What share of households in tract 51153901303 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51153901303 compare to Buckhall overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Buckhall
Top eight tracts in Buckhall ranked by composite eviction-risk score.