Montyville Eviction Risk: Lower , Buckhall

Running cool, economic stress reads 1.4/10. SNAP participation runs 5.6% against 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity runs 8.4% against 17.8% nationally. 10% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

The filing record is not thin: 12 evictions over 1 years of observation. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 6.9/10. Against the Prince William County average of 4.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points.

The worst year on record was 2016, when 3.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.1% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 29% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 20% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $169,093, annual rent is just 18%. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 0.8 points cooler.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.