Montyville Eviction Risk: Lower , Buckhall
Tract 51153901231 · Prince William County, VA · pop 6,456 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 51153901231 sits in the Montyville area of Buckhall eviction risk, Virginia eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 5.8/10. That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
40% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,496 monthly, set against $169,093 in average yearly household income, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 20% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Buckhall and the region
Centroid at 38.7390, -77.4178 · click any tract to drill in
Why Montyville scores 1.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Montyville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 21%Socioeconomic
- 36%Household composition
- 56%Racial/ethnic minority
- 68%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 12Total filings over 1 yrs
- 3.12%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.1%Peak (2016)
- 12Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.7%Housing insecurity
- 4.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.4%Food insecurity
- 5.6%SNAP enrollment
- 5.1%Transit barriers
- 6.9%No health insurance
- 13.6%Frequent mental distress
- 25.3%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Montyville
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 6.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Buckhall eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Prince William County average of 5.7 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 39th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 51153901231
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51153901231?
What is the average rent in tract 51153901231?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51153901231?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51153901231?
Is tract 51153901231 considered part of Montyville?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51153901231?
What share of households in tract 51153901231 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51153901231 compare to Buckhall overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Buckhall
Top eight tracts in Buckhall ranked by composite eviction-risk score.