Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #76,223 of 84,120 nationally
Yorkshire Park Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 51153901702 · Prince William County, VA · pop 4,641 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 5.1/10, tract 51153901702 in Yorkshire Park in Yorkshire ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,641 residents. That is riskier than roughly 40% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 26% of renter households, a moderate level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,977 a month while the average household earns $109,691 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,233
Renter share37.1%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate7.4%
Median income$109,691
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
29
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Yorkshire and the region
Centroid at 38.7909, -77.4693 · click any tract to drill in
Why Yorkshire Park scores 1.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Yorkshire
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
7.4% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,977 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Yorkshire
2.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Yorkshire
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Yorkshire
3.2
How Yorkshire Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 81%Household composition
- 82%Racial/ethnic minority
- 56%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 26Total filings over 1 yrs
- 7.34%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.3%Peak (2016)
- 26Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.0%Housing insecurity
- 10.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.4%Food insecurity
- 16.2%SNAP enrollment
- 11.6%Transit barriers
- 24.7%No health insurance
- 17.7%Frequent mental distress
- 36.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Yorkshire Park
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Yorkshire, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Prince William County average of 5.7 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 26 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 7.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.3% of renter households in 2016.
The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51153901702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51153901702?
Census tract 51153901702 in the Yorkshire Park neighborhood scores 1.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51153901702?
Median gross rent is $1,977/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51153901702?
7.4% of residents in tract 51153901702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,641.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51153901702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 81th, minority 82th, housing 56th.
Q5
Is tract 51153901702 considered part of Yorkshire Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51153901702 fall within Yorkshire Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51153901702?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 26 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51153901702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.34% of renter households, peaking at 7.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51153901702 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51153901702 compare to Yorkshire overall?
Tract 51153901702 scores 1.8/10, lower than the parent city of Yorkshire at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Yorkshire; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Yorkshire
Top eight tracts in Yorkshire ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related