Iron Gate Eviction Risk: Moderate , Loch Lomond
Tract 51153901704 · Prince William County, VA · pop 6,582 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 51153901704 sits in the Iron Gate area of Sudley, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.6/10. Population here is 6,582. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.1/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Loch Lomond and the region
Centroid at 38.7792, -77.4992 · click any tract to drill in
Why Iron Gate scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Iron Gate compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 88%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 90%Racial/ethnic minority
- 63%Housing & transportation
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Iron Gate. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.4%Housing insecurity
- 9.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.4%Food insecurity
- 15.3%SNAP enrollment
- 11.0%Transit barriers
- 21.0%No health insurance
- 17.0%Frequent mental distress
- 33.5%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Iron Gate
Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.3/10. Against the Prince William County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10. 12% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Adults with no health insurance runs 21.0% against 11.3% nationally.
At $1,808 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Sudley commands. Nationally it ranks #22,681 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 8.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
45% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $89,821. 61% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 51153901704
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51153901704?
What is the average rent in tract 51153901704?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51153901704?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51153901704?
Is tract 51153901704 considered part of Iron Gate?
What share of households in tract 51153901704 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51153901704 compare to Loch Lomond overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Loch Lomond
Top eight tracts in Loch Lomond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.