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Neighborhood · Loch Lomond, VA

Iron Gate Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 9,000 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.1/10 · range 3.7–5.6

Iron Gate takes in 2 census tracts of Loch Lomond, VA and houses 9,000 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.1/10, in the Moderate tier. 60% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Loch Lomond rate of 29.4%.

At $1,322 a month, rents sit 39% under what the rest of Loch Lomond commands. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3.7 to 5.6, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.

The clearest offset is economic stress, at 2.2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.7/10. Severe burden reaches 9%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

18.8% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. Rent takes 16% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.9 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Iron Gate vs Loch Lomond How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
60.1% +104%
Loch Lomond: 29.4%
Average gross rent
$1,322 -39%
Loch Lomond: $2,161
Average HH income
$96,993 -12%
Loch Lomond: $109,873
Poverty rate
8.2% +113%
Loch Lomond: 3.9%
Renter share
45.0% +156%
Loch Lomond: 17.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Iron Gate and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.7–5.6

Why Iron Gate scores 5.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Rent control risk
60% of income on rent · Range 5.9–8.3 across tracts
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.1–3.3 across tracts
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
45% renter households · Range 3.5–8.1 across tracts
6.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.3–6.5 across tracts
5.9
Economic stress
8.2% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.6 across tracts
2.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.8–5.0 across tracts
3.4
Risk score comparison

Iron Gate vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Iron Gate score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.1Iron GateNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Iron Gate

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51153901704 5.6 6,582 45% $1,808
51153901703 3.7 2,418 100% ,
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 68

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 77%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 64%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 87%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 47%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Iron Gate

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Iron Gate

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Iron Gate?

Iron Gate scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Iron Gate compare to Loch Lomond overall?

Iron Gate scores 1.1 points higher than Loch Lomond overall (4/10). Renters spend 60% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,322 vs $2,161.
Q3

What is the average rent in Iron Gate?

Average gross rent in Iron Gate is $1,322/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Iron Gate residents are renters?

45% of Iron Gate households are renter-occupied (vs 18% in Loch Lomond). The neighborhood has 9,000 residents.
Q5

Is Iron Gate a high social-vulnerability area?

Iron Gate sits in the 68th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Iron Gate have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Iron Gate is census tract 51153901704 (score 5.6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.7 to 5.6, a spread of 1.9 points.
Q7

How safe is Iron Gate for landlords?

Iron Gate carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Loch Lomond as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Iron Gate?

Iron Gate has 9,690 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (62.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (17%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (10.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Iron Gate

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