Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #79,998 of 84,120 nationally
Berkshire Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 51179010213 · Stafford County, VA · pop 2,656 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 51179010213 sits in the Berkshire area of Stafford, Virginia eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 4.7/10. On the national scale it ranks #61,258 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
15% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,861 a month while the average household earns $166,397 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 3% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.4
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units745
Renter share3.5%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate0.9%
Median income$166,397
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
36
th percentile
Low
Within state
19
th percentile
Very Low
National
5
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Stafford County and the region
Centroid at 38.4564, -77.4452 · click any tract to drill in
Why Berkshire scores 1.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
0.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,861 rent vs county FMR
7.4
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Berkshire compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 2
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 4%Socioeconomic
- 17%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 1%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 5Total filings over 2 yrs
- 2.93%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.4%Peak (2016)
- 3Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.3%Housing insecurity
- 5.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.0%Food insecurity
- 5.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.2%Transit barriers
- 5.8%No health insurance
- 14.7%Frequent mental distress
- 22.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Berkshire
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 7.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by Virginia eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Stafford County average of 5.4 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 5 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 2.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.4% of renter households in 2016.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 2nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51179010213
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51179010213?
Census tract 51179010213 in the Berkshire neighborhood scores 1.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51179010213?
Median gross rent is $2,861/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 15% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51179010213?
0.9% of residents in tract 51179010213 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,656.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51179010213?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 17th, minority 61th, housing 1th.
Q5
Is tract 51179010213 considered part of Berkshire?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51179010213 fall within Berkshire (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51179010213?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 5 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51179010213 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.93% of renter households, peaking at 4.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51179010213 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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