Within county
45
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #79,124 of 84,120 nationally
Tract 51179010301 Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 51179010301 · Stafford County, VA · pop 4,975
How risky is Stafford in Stafford County for landlords? Census tract 51179010301 scores 4.3/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 17% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
4% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 4% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,534 monthly, set against $154,614 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 7% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.5
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units1,519
Renter share7.3%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate5.6%
Median income$154,614
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within state
22
th percentile
Low
National
6
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Stafford County and the region
Centroid at 38.4539, -77.5722 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tract 51179010301 scores 1.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.6% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$2,534 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Tract 51179010301 compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 7
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 16%Socioeconomic
- 13%Household composition
- 36%Racial/ethnic minority
- 8%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 11Total filings over 2 yrs
- 5.90%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.2%Peak (2015)
- 5Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.4%Housing insecurity
- 5.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.3%Food insecurity
- 6.9%SNAP enrollment
- 5.7%Transit barriers
- 6.9%No health insurance
- 15.8%Frequent mental distress
- 27.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tract 51179010301
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by Virginia eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Stafford County average of 5.4 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 11 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 5.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 8.2% of renter households in 2015.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51179010301
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51179010301?
Census tract 51179010301 in Stafford County scores 1.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51179010301?
Median gross rent is $2,534/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 4% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51179010301?
5.6% of residents in tract 51179010301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,975.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51179010301?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 13th, minority 36th, housing 8th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51179010301?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 11 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51179010301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.90% of renter households, peaking at 8.2% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 51179010301 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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