Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
Brookfield Eviction Risk: Lower , Falmouth
Tract 51179010406 · Stafford County, VA · pop 3,637 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 51179010406 covers part of the Brookfield area of Falmouth, VA, and scores 3.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,637 residents. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.1/10.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,211
Renter share20.2%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate3.3%
Median income$138,341
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
7
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Falmouth and the region
Centroid at 38.3052, -77.4336 · click any tract to drill in
Why Brookfield scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Falmouth
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,934 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Falmouth
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Falmouth
4.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Falmouth
6.6
How Brookfield compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 16
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 18%Socioeconomic
- 32%Household composition
- 52%Racial/ethnic minority
- 13%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 68Total filings over 2 yrs
- 8.19%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.9%Peak (2015)
- 34Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.7%Housing insecurity
- 6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.4%Food insecurity
- 8.0%SNAP enrollment
- 6.4%Transit barriers
- 7.2%No health insurance
- 16.1%Frequent mental distress
- 27.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Brookfield
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.6/10. It sits 1.0 points below the Stafford County average of 4.5.
Court records carry 68 eviction filings across 2 observed years. Food insecurity runs 10.4% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 8.0% against 15.2% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2015 at 9.9% of renter households. In a typical year about 8.2% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 31st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 20% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $138,341, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51179010406
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51179010406?
Census tract 51179010406 in the Brookfield neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51179010406?
Median gross rent is $1,934/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51179010406?
3.3% of residents in tract 51179010406 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,637.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51179010406?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 32th, minority 52th, housing 13th.
Q5
Is tract 51179010406 considered part of Brookfield?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51179010406 fall within Brookfield (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51179010406?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 68 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51179010406 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.19% of renter households, peaking at 9.9% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51179010406 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51179010406 compare to Falmouth overall?
Tract 51179010406 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Falmouth at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Falmouth; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Falmouth
Top eight tracts in Falmouth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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