Heather Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Falmouth
Tract 51179010404 · Stafford County, VA · pop 6,828 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 51179010404 sits in the Heather Hills area of Falmouth, Virginia eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 5.7/10. That is riskier than about 63% of US census tracts.
About 36% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,119 a month while the average household earns $145,115 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 19% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Falmouth and the region
Centroid at 38.3334, -77.4508 · click any tract to drill in
Why Heather Hills scores 1.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Heather Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 13
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 18%Socioeconomic
- 53%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 3%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 100Total filings over 2 yrs
- 9.82%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.2%Peak (2015)
- 36Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.6%Housing insecurity
- 5.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.7%Food insecurity
- 6.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.6%Transit barriers
- 6.5%No health insurance
- 15.4%Frequent mental distress
- 25.4%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Heather Hills
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 7.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Falmouth, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Stafford County average of 5.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 13th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 51179010404
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51179010404?
What is the average rent in tract 51179010404?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51179010404?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51179010404?
Is tract 51179010404 considered part of Heather Hills?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51179010404?
What share of households in tract 51179010404 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51179010404 compare to Falmouth overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Falmouth
Top eight tracts in Falmouth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.