Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Hunters Square Eviction Risk: Moderate , Manassas
Tract 51683910302 · Manassas city, VA · pop 5,957 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
With a score of 5.4/10, tract 51683910302 in the Hunters Square area of Manassas, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,957 residents. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units2,339
Renter share34.8%
SVI overall0.57
Poverty rate12.4%
Median income$82,980
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Manassas and the region
Centroid at 38.7400, -77.4676 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hunters Square scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Manassas
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
12.4% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,845 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Manassas
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Manassas
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Manassas
5.0
How Hunters Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 57
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 62%Socioeconomic
- 31%Household composition
- 72%Racial/ethnic minority
- 50%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.5%Housing insecurity
- 8.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.8%Food insecurity
- 12.2%SNAP enrollment
- 9.0%Transit barriers
- 14.1%No health insurance
- 17.1%Frequent mental distress
- 29.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hunters Square
Against Manassas City at 44.2%, 52% of renters here are cost-burdened. Against the Manassas City average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 3/10.
Running cool, economic stress reads 3.1/10. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.
Average gross rent is $1,845, close to the Manassas average. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $82,980. 35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51683910302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51683910302?
Census tract 51683910302 in the Hunters Square neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51683910302?
Median gross rent is $1,845/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51683910302?
12.4% of residents in tract 51683910302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,957.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51683910302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 31th, minority 72th, housing 50th.
Q5
Is tract 51683910302 considered part of Hunters Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51683910302 fall within Hunters Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51683910302 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51683910302 compare to Manassas overall?
Tract 51683910302 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Manassas at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manassas eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Manassas
Top eight tracts in Manassas ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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