Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,481 of 84,120 nationally
Hunters Square Eviction Risk: Lower , Manassas
Tract 51683910302 · Manassas city, VA · pop 5,957 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 51683910302 covers Hunters Square in Manassas in Virginia. Home to 5,957 residents, it scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #40,928 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 52% of renter households, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,845 a month while the average household earns $82,980 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.7
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units2,339
Renter share34.8%
SVI overall0.57
Poverty rate12.4%
Median income$82,980
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
48
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Manassas and the region
Centroid at 38.7400, -77.4676 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hunters Square scores 2.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Manassas
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
12.4% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,845 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Manassas
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Manassas
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Manassas
5.0
How Hunters Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 57
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 62%Socioeconomic
- 31%Household composition
- 72%Racial/ethnic minority
- 50%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.5%Housing insecurity
- 8.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.8%Food insecurity
- 12.2%SNAP enrollment
- 9.0%Transit barriers
- 14.1%No health insurance
- 17.1%Frequent mental distress
- 29.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hunters Square
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Manassas eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Manassas City County average of 5.0 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 14.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 57th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51683910302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51683910302?
Census tract 51683910302 in the Hunters Square neighborhood scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51683910302?
Median gross rent is $1,845/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51683910302?
12.4% of residents in tract 51683910302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,957.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51683910302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 31th, minority 72th, housing 50th.
Q5
Is tract 51683910302 considered part of Hunters Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51683910302 fall within Hunters Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51683910302 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51683910302 compare to Manassas overall?
Tract 51683910302 scores 2.7/10, lower than the parent city of Manassas at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manassas eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Manassas
Top eight tracts in Manassas ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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