Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally
Newsome Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newport News
Tract 51700030500 · Newport News city, VA · pop 2,181 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 51700030500 (Newsome in Newport News, Virginia) comes in at 6.4/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than about 84% of US census tracts.
59% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 45% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,366 a month against an average household income of $44,510 a year, roughly 37% of income at the averages. Renters make up 59% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units758
Renter share58.8%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate30.5%
Median income$44,510
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
87
th percentile
High
Within county
87
th percentile
High
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newport News and the region
Centroid at 36.9880, -76.4089 · click any tract to drill in
Why Newsome scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newport News
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
30.5% poverty · this tract
7.6
Supply constraint
$1,366 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newport News
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newport News
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newport News
4.5
How Newsome compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 33%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 83%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 125%Grade C
- 66%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 649Total filings over 5 yrs
- 38.99%Avg annual filing rate
- 49.2%Peak (2013)
- 130Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Newsome. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 28.8%Housing insecurity
- 22.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 38.0%Food insecurity
- 40.3%SNAP enrollment
- 19.3%Transit barriers
- 13.7%No health insurance
- 20.9%Frequent mental distress
- 43.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Newsome
The heaviest input here is economic stress at 7.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Newport News eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Newport News City County average of 5.8 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of C ("Hazardous") across 66% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
In CDC survey modeling, about 28.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 22.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 51700030500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51700030500?
Census tract 51700030500 in the Newsome neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51700030500?
Median gross rent is $1,366/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51700030500?
30.5% of residents in tract 51700030500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,181.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51700030500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 33th, minority 94th, housing 83th.
Q5
Is tract 51700030500 considered part of Newsome?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51700030500 fall within Newsome (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51700030500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 649 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 51700030500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 38.99% of renter households, peaking at 49.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51700030500 struggle to pay rent?
About 28.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51700030500 compare to Newport News overall?
Tract 51700030500 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Newport News at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newport News eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51700030500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 66% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newport News
Top eight tracts in Newport News ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Ivy Park
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Newsome
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Tuckers Creek
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Eastwood
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Village Green
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Christophers Shores
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
North End
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Beechmont
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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