Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Newsome Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newport News
Tract 51700030500 · Newport News city, VA · pop 2,181 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 51700030500 sits in the Newsome area of Newport News eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. It is home to 2,181 residents. 45% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units758
Renter share58.8%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate30.5%
Median income$44,510
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
89
th percentile
High
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newport News and the region
Centroid at 36.9880, -76.4089 · click any tract to drill in
Why Newsome scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newport News
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
30.5% poverty · this tract
7.6
Supply constraint
$1,366 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newport News
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newport News
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newport News
4.5
How Newsome compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 33%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 83%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 125%Grade C
- 66%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 649Total filings over 5 yrs
- 38.99%Avg annual filing rate
- 49.2%Peak (2013)
- 130Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Newsome. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 28.8%Housing insecurity
- 22.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 38.0%Food insecurity
- 40.3%SNAP enrollment
- 19.3%Transit barriers
- 13.7%No health insurance
- 20.9%Frequent mental distress
- 43.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Newsome
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10. Set annual rent against average income of $44,510 and the ratio lands at 37%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
Against Newport News City at 49.3%, 59% of renters here are cost-burdened. The poverty rate is 30%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Housing insecurity runs 28.8% against 14.2% nationally. Disability prevalence runs 43.5% against 31.5% nationally.
Against the Newport News City average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. On the high side, economic stress reads 7.6/10.
Court records carry 649 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Filings peaked in 2013 at 49.2% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 39.0% of renter households face a filing.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51700030500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51700030500?
Census tract 51700030500 in the Newsome neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51700030500?
Median gross rent is $1,366/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51700030500?
30.5% of residents in tract 51700030500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,181.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51700030500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 33th, minority 94th, housing 83th.
Q5
Is tract 51700030500 considered part of Newsome?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51700030500 fall within Newsome (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51700030500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 649 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 51700030500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 38.99% of renter households, peaking at 49.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51700030500 struggle to pay rent?
About 28.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51700030500 compare to Newport News overall?
Tract 51700030500 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Newport News at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newport News eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51700030500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 66% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newport News
Top eight tracts in Newport News ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Ivy Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Christophers Shores
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Tuckers Creek
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Newsome
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
North End
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Eastwood
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Village Green
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Beechmont
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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