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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Newsome Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newport News

Tract 51700030800 · Newport News city, VA · pop 1,988 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 51700030800 covers part of the Newsome area of Newport News, VA, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,988 residents. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36% Stable renters 37% Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units787
Renter share73.7%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate18.3%
Median income$47,982

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Newsome
Very Low
Within parent city
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#14 of 47 tracts In Newport News
Elevated
Within county
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 47 tracts In Newport News city
Elevated
Within state
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#589 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Newport News and the region

Centroid at 36.9982, -76.4188 · click any tract to drill in

Why Newsome scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Newport News
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
18.3% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,119 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newport News
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newport News
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newport News
4.5

How Newsome compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Newsome risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0308004.0Newport Newsparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,011Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 44.09%Avg annual filing rate
  • 59.5%Peak (2013)
  • 109Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 51700030800
Filings dropped 52% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Newsome. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Newsome

SNAP participation runs 36.4% against 15.2% nationally. Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. This is renter territory: 74% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.6/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 20.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Average gross rent is $1,119, 16% below the Newport News average. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,011 filings here across 5 tracked years.

Against the Newport News City average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points. Filings peaked in 2013 at 59.5% of renter households.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Norfolk. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 51700030800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51700030800?

Census tract 51700030800 in the Newsome neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51700030800?

Median gross rent is $1,119/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51700030800?

18.3% of residents in tract 51700030800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,988.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51700030800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 59th, minority 93th, housing 44th.
Q5

Is tract 51700030800 considered part of Newsome?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51700030800 fall within Newsome (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51700030800?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,011 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 51700030800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 44.09% of renter households, peaking at 59.5% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51700030800 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51700030800 compare to Newport News overall?

Tract 51700030800 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Newport News at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newport News eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 51700030800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 23% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Newport News

Top eight tracts in Newport News ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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