Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #10,885 of 84,120 nationally
Newsome Eviction Risk: Elevated , Newport News
Tract 51700030600 · Newport News city, VA · pop 1,827 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Eviction risk in Newsome in Newport News centers on tract 51700030600, which scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 1,827 residents. On the national scale it ranks #11,705 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
51% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $963 a month against an average household income of $25,860 a year, roughly 45% of income at the averages. About 78% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40%
Stable renters 38%
Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units834
Renter share78.2%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate37.5%
Median income$25,860
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
98
th percentile
Very High
Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newport News and the region
Centroid at 36.9924, -76.4128 · click any tract to drill in
Why Newsome scores 6.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newport News
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
37.5% poverty · this tract
9.4
Supply constraint
$963 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newport News
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newport News
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newport News
4.5
How Newsome compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 100%Socioeconomic
- 76%Household composition
- 92%Racial/ethnic minority
- 90%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 28%Grade C
- 91%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,961Total filings over 5 yrs
- 66.86%Avg annual filing rate
- 78.0%Peak (2015)
- 419Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 24% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Newsome. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 35.6%Housing insecurity
- 29.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 48.7%Food insecurity
- 54.2%SNAP enrollment
- 25.4%Transit barriers
- 17.3%No health insurance
- 23.4%Frequent mental distress
- 49.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Newsome
What moves this score most is economic stress at 9.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Newport News eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Newport News City County average of 5.8 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 91% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 51700030600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51700030600?
Census tract 51700030600 in the Newsome neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51700030600?
Median gross rent is $963/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51700030600?
37.5% of residents in tract 51700030600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,827.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51700030600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 76th, minority 92th, housing 90th.
Q5
Is tract 51700030600 considered part of Newsome?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51700030600 fall within Newsome (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51700030600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,961 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 51700030600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 66.86% of renter households, peaking at 78.0% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51700030600 struggle to pay rent?
About 35.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 29.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51700030600 compare to Newport News overall?
Tract 51700030600 scores 6.1/10, higher than the parent city of Newport News at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newport News eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51700030600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 91% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newport News
Top eight tracts in Newport News ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Ivy Park
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Tuckers Creek
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Christophers Shores
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Eastwood
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Village Green
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Newsome
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
North End
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Hidenwood
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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