Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Newsome Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newport News
Tract 51700030600 · Newport News city, VA · pop 1,827 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
51700030600 is a census tract in the Newsome area of Newport News, VA. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,827. Severe burden reaches 36%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40%
Stable renters 38%
Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units834
Renter share78.2%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate37.5%
Median income$25,860
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
91
th percentile
Very High
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newport News and the region
Centroid at 36.9924, -76.4128 · click any tract to drill in
Why Newsome scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newport News
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
37.5% poverty · this tract
9.4
Supply constraint
$963 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newport News
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newport News
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newport News
4.5
How Newsome compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 100%Socioeconomic
- 76%Household composition
- 92%Racial/ethnic minority
- 90%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 28%Grade C
- 91%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,961Total filings over 5 yrs
- 66.86%Avg annual filing rate
- 78.0%Peak (2015)
- 419Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 24% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Newsome. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 35.6%Housing insecurity
- 29.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 48.7%Food insecurity
- 54.2%SNAP enrollment
- 25.4%Transit barriers
- 17.3%No health insurance
- 23.4%Frequent mental distress
- 49.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Newsome
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.8/10. Annualized rent equals 45% of average household income of $25,860, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Housing insecurity runs 35.6% against 14.2% nationally.
On the high side, economic stress reads 9.4/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 29.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
The poverty rate is 38%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. This is renter territory: 78% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.
At $963 a month, rents run 28% under what the rest of Newport News commands. Against the Newport News City average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Court records carry 1,961 eviction filings across 5 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2015, when 78.0% of renter households were served.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51700030600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51700030600?
Census tract 51700030600 in the Newsome neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51700030600?
Median gross rent is $963/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51700030600?
37.5% of residents in tract 51700030600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,827.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51700030600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 76th, minority 92th, housing 90th.
Q5
Is tract 51700030600 considered part of Newsome?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51700030600 fall within Newsome (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51700030600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,961 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 51700030600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 66.86% of renter households, peaking at 78.0% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51700030600 struggle to pay rent?
About 35.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 29.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51700030600 compare to Newport News overall?
Tract 51700030600 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Newport News at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newport News eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51700030600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 91% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newport News
Top eight tracts in Newport News ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
North End
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Eastwood
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Village Green
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Ivy Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Christophers Shores
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Tuckers Creek
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Newsome
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Beechmont
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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