Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Robinson Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newport News
Tract 51700031602 · Newport News city, VA · pop 5,404 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 4.1/10, tract 51700031602 in the Robinson area of Newport News, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,404. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units2,018
Renter share37.3%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate15.4%
Median income$69,242
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
55
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newport News and the region
Centroid at 37.0702, -76.4635 · click any tract to drill in
Why Robinson scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newport News
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
15.4% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,314 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newport News
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newport News
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newport News
4.5
How Robinson compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 48%Socioeconomic
- 34%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 68%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,135Total filings over 5 yrs
- 39.97%Avg annual filing rate
- 49.8%Peak (2013)
- 195Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Robinson. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.0%Housing insecurity
- 8.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.2%Food insecurity
- 12.1%SNAP enrollment
- 8.1%Transit barriers
- 8.7%No health insurance
- 17.4%Frequent mental distress
- 31.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Robinson
Cost burden runs 63% here against 49.3% across Newport News City. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.7/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,135 filings here across 5 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2013 at 49.8% of renter households. In a typical year about 40.0% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 44th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
It tracks the Newport News City average of 4.1 closely. Average gross rent is $1,314, close to the Newport News average. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $69,242.
37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51700031602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51700031602?
Census tract 51700031602 in the Robinson neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51700031602?
Median gross rent is $1,314/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51700031602?
15.4% of residents in tract 51700031602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,404.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51700031602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 34th, minority 62th, housing 68th.
Q5
Is tract 51700031602 considered part of Robinson?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51700031602 fall within Robinson (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51700031602?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,135 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 51700031602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 39.97% of renter households, peaking at 49.8% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51700031602 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51700031602 compare to Newport News overall?
Tract 51700031602 scores 4.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Newport News at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newport News eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newport News
Top eight tracts in Newport News ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Tuckers Creek
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Newsome
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Newsome
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Eastwood
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
North End
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Village Green
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Ivy Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Christophers Shores
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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