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Neighborhood · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally

Robinson Eviction Risk: Lower , Newport News

Tract 51700031603 · Newport News city, VA · pop 4,959 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

For landlords sizing up the Robinson area of Newport News, census tract 51700031603 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.8/10. That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 50% of renter households, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,730 a month against an average household income of $95,267 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 24% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 12% Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,896
Renter share23.8%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate5.4%
Median income$95,267

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Robinson
Very Low
Within parent city
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#44 of 47 tracts In Newport News
Very Low
Within county
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#42 of 47 tracts In Newport News city
Very Low
Within state
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#920 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Newport News and the region

Centroid at 37.0689, -76.4533 · click any tract to drill in

Why Robinson scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Newport News
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.4% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,730 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newport News
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newport News
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newport News
4.5

How Robinson compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Robinson risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.23.2This tracttract 031603Newport News: 4.34.3Newport Newsparent cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Robinson. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Robinson

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 5.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Newport News eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Newport News City County average of 5.8 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 13.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 46th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51700031603

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51700031603?

Census tract 51700031603 in the Robinson neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51700031603?

Median gross rent is $1,730/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51700031603?

5.4% of residents in tract 51700031603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,959.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51700031603?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 62th, minority 73th, housing 43th.
Q5

Is tract 51700031603 considered part of Robinson?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51700031603 fall within Robinson (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51700031603 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51700031603 compare to Newport News overall?

Tract 51700031603 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Newport News at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newport News eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Newport News

Top eight tracts in Newport News ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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