Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Robinson Eviction Risk: Lower , Newport News
Tract 51700031603 ·
Newport News city, VA · pop 4,959 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
51700031603 is a census tract in the Robinson area of Newport News, VA. It scores 3/10 for landlords. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.8/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%Stable renters 12%Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,896
Renter share23.8%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate5.4%
Median income$95,267
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#2 of 2 tracts In Robinson
Very Low
Within parent city
13th percentile
#41 of 47 tracts In Newport News
Very Low
Within county
20th percentile
#38 of 47 tracts In Newport News city
Very Low
Within state
18th percentile
#1,798 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newport News and the region
Centroid at 37.0689, -76.4533 · click any tract to drill in
Why Robinson scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Newport News
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.4% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,730 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newport News
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newport News
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newport News
4.5
How Robinson compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 46
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
13.1%Housing insecurity
8.4%Utility-shutoff threat
13.8%Food insecurity
10.7%SNAP enrollment
8.0%Transit barriers
8.0%No health insurance
17.7%Frequent mental distress
27.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Robinson
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.4/10. Average gross rent is $1,730, 29% above the Newport News average. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Against the Newport News City average of 4.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 24% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 5.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler.
Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. about half of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $95,267.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51700031603
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51700031603?
Census tract 51700031603 in the Robinson neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51700031603?
Median gross rent is $1,730/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51700031603?
5.4% of residents in tract 51700031603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,959.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51700031603?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 62th, minority 73th, housing 43th.
Q5
Is tract 51700031603 considered part of Robinson?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51700031603 fall within Robinson (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51700031603 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51700031603 compare to Newport News overall?
Tract 51700031603 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Newport News at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newport News eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newport News
Top eight tracts in Newport News ranked by composite eviction-risk score.