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Neighborhood · Newport News, VA

Robinson Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 10,363 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.6/10 · range 3–4.1

Robinson spans 2 census tracts of Newport News, VA, population 10,363. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.6/10, in the Lower tier. 57% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Newport News rate of 30.6%.

Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10. Severe burden reaches 17%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3 to 4.1, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. On the softer side is economic stress, at 2.7/10. Court records for this tract carry 1,135 eviction filings.

Average gross rent is $1,513, 13% above the Newport News average of $1,339. The worst year on record was 2013, when filings touched 49.8% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 25.8% in 2016, is well off that peak.

Among the 30 mapped neighborhoods of Newport News, it ranks #17 by risk, the middle third. For a like-for-like read, Windsor Great Park and Nelson Place score within a fraction of it. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $81,696.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 3.6 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Robinson vs Newport News How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
56.9% +86%
Newport News: 30.6%
Average gross rent
$1,513 +13%
Newport News: $1,339
Average HH income
$81,696 +22%
Newport News: $66,718
Poverty rate
10.6% -30%
Newport News: 15.1%
Renter share
30.9% -40%
Newport News: 51.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Robinson and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–4.1

Why Robinson scores 3.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
57% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
31% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
10.6% below poverty line · Range 1.4–3.9 across tracts
2.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.7–5.2 across tracts
3.9
Risk score comparison

Robinson vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Robinson score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.6RobinsonNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Robinson

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51700031602 4.1 5,404 63% $1,314
51700031603 3 4,959 50% $1,730
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 50

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 40%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 47%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 67%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 56%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Robinson

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,135Total filings (sum)
  • 39.97%Avg annual filing rate
  • 49.8%Peak year (2013)
  • 25.79%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Robinson

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Robinson

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Robinson?

Robinson scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Robinson compare to Newport News overall?

Robinson scores 0.4 points lower than Newport News overall (4/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,513 vs $1,339.
Q3

What is the average rent in Robinson?

Average gross rent in Robinson is $1,513/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Robinson residents are renters?

31% of Robinson households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Newport News). The neighborhood has 10,363 residents.
Q5

Is Robinson a high social-vulnerability area?

Robinson sits in the 50th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Robinson have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Robinson is census tract 51700031602 (score 4.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 4.1, a spread of 1.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Robinson for landlords?

Robinson carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.6/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Newport News as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Robinson?

Robinson has 10,305 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (48.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (43.5%), Other / Multiracial (4.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Robinson

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Newport News

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Robinson.

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