Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Nelson Place Eviction Risk: Lower , Newport News
Tract 51700031604 · Newport News city, VA · pop 3,037 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Census tract 51700031604 covers part of the Nelson Place area of Newport News, VA, and scores 3.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.8/10.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 43%
Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units1,386
Renter share69.6%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate8.0%
Median income$47,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newport News and the region
Centroid at 37.0555, -76.4573 · click any tract to drill in
Why Nelson Place scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newport News
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
8.0% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,013 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newport News
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newport News
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newport News
4.5
How Nelson Place compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 50
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 56%Socioeconomic
- 27%Household composition
- 75%Racial/ethnic minority
- 42%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Nelson Place. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.3%Housing insecurity
- 10.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.5%Food insecurity
- 14.6%SNAP enrollment
- 9.6%Transit barriers
- 9.3%No health insurance
- 18.0%Frequent mental distress
- 30.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Nelson Place
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. 38% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Newport News City average of 49.3%.
This is renter territory: 70% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
Average gross rent is $1,013, 24% below the Newport News average. 14% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. That is riskier than roughly 40% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.5/10. It tracks the Newport News City average of 4.1 closely. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $47,250.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51700031604
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51700031604?
Census tract 51700031604 in the Nelson Place neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51700031604?
Median gross rent is $1,013/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51700031604?
8.0% of residents in tract 51700031604 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,037.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51700031604?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 56th, household 27th, minority 75th, housing 42th.
Q5
Is tract 51700031604 considered part of Nelson Place?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51700031604 fall within Nelson Place (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51700031604 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51700031604 compare to Newport News overall?
Tract 51700031604 scores 3.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Newport News at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newport News eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newport News
Top eight tracts in Newport News ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Village Green
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Ivy Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Christophers Shores
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Tuckers Creek
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Newsome
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Newsome
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
North End
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Eastwood
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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