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Neighborhood · Newport News, VA

Nelson Place Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 8,196 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.4/10 · range 3.1–3.9

Nelson Place takes in 2 census tracts of Newport News, VA, population 8,196. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.4/10, in the Lower tier. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10.

Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 2.1/10. Severe burden reaches 15%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Cost burden runs 37% against 30.6% citywide, putting Nelson Place 5.9% over its own city.

The filing record is not thin: 1,648 evictions logged in this tract. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 48.4% of renter households.

On the softer side is supply constraint, at 3/10. That places it #19 of 30 neighborhoods in Newport News. Judgments average 11.3% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.8 points apart at the extremes. Average gross rent runs $1,349, close to the Newport News average. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $66,907.

44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Nelson Place vs Newport News How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
36.5% +19%
Newport News: 30.6%
Average gross rent
$1,349 +1%
Newport News: $1,339
Average HH income
$66,907 +0%
Newport News: $66,718
Poverty rate
8.2% -46%
Newport News: 15.1%
Renter share
43.9% -15%
Newport News: 51.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Nelson Place and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.1–3.9

Why Nelson Place scores 3.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
37% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
44% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
8.2% below poverty line · Range 2.0–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–4.1 across tracts
3.0
Risk score comparison

Nelson Place vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Nelson Place score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.4Nelson PlaceNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Nelson Place

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51700031604 3.9 3,037 38% $1,013
51700031400 3.1 5,159 35% $1,547
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 58

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 60%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 44%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 71%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 50%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Nelson Place

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,648Total filings (sum)
  • 36.20%Avg annual filing rate
  • 48.4%Peak year (2016)
  • 48.40%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Nelson Place

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Nelson Place

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Nelson Place?

Nelson Place scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Nelson Place compare to Newport News overall?

Nelson Place scores 0.6 points lower than Newport News overall (4/10). Renters spend 37% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,349 vs $1,339.
Q3

What is the average rent in Nelson Place?

Average gross rent in Nelson Place is $1,349/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Nelson Place residents are renters?

44% of Nelson Place households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Newport News). The neighborhood has 8,196 residents.
Q5

Is Nelson Place a high social-vulnerability area?

Nelson Place sits in the 58th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Nelson Place have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Nelson Place is census tract 51700031604 (score 3.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.1 to 3.9, a spread of 0.8 points.
Q7

How safe is Nelson Place for landlords?

Nelson Place carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Newport News as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Nelson Place?

Nelson Place has 8,142 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (47.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (42.7%), Other / Multiracial (4.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Nelson Place

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Newport News

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Nelson Place.

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