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Neighborhood · Newport News, VA

Nelson Place Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 8,196 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.9/10 · range 3.7–4.3

Nelson Place is a black-white neighborhood in Newport News with 2 census tracts and a population of 8,196 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.9/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 37% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 15% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,349/month sits 1% higher than the Newport News citywide average ($1,339).

Risk score
3.9
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Nelson Place vs Newport News How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
36.5% +19%
Newport News: 30.6%
Average gross rent
$1,349 +1%
Newport News: $1,339
Average HH income
$66,907 +0%
Newport News: $66,718
Poverty rate
8.2% -46%
Newport News: 15.1%
Renter share
43.9% -15%
Newport News: 51.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Nelson Place and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.7–4.3

Why Nelson Place scores 3.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
37% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
44% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
8.2% below poverty line · Range 2.0–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–4.1 across tracts
3.0
Risk score comparison

Nelson Place vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Nelson Place score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Nelson Place: 3.93.9Nelson PlaceNeighborhoodParent city: 4.34.3Parent cityhost cityState: 3.83.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Nelson Place

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51700031604 4.3 3,037 38% $1,013
51700031400 3.7 5,159 35% $1,547
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 58

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 60%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 44%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 71%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 50%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Nelson Place

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,648Total filings (sum)
  • 36.20%Avg annual filing rate
  • 48.4%Peak year (2016)
  • 48.40%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Nelson Place

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Nelson Place

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Nelson Place?

Nelson Place scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Nelson Place compare to Newport News overall?

Nelson Place scores 0.4 points lower than Newport News overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 37% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,349 vs $1,339.
Q3

What is the average rent in Nelson Place?

Average gross rent in Nelson Place is $1,349/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Nelson Place residents are renters?

44% of Nelson Place households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Newport News). The neighborhood has 8,196 residents.
Q5

Is Nelson Place a high social-vulnerability area?

Nelson Place sits in the 58th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Nelson Place have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Nelson Place is census tract 51700031604 (score 4.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.7 to 4.3, a spread of 0.6 points.
Q7

How safe is Nelson Place for landlords?

Nelson Place carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.9/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Newport News as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Nelson Place?

Nelson Place has 8,142 residents (Black-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (47.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (42.7%), Other / Multiracial (4.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Nelson Place

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Newport News

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Nelson Place.

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